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Dynatrace shares target increased, outperform on solid metrics

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 11/08/2024, 10:13 AM
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On Friday, BMO Capital Markets showed a vote of confidence in Dynatrace Inc. (NYSE:DT) shares, a software intelligence company, by raising the price target on its stock to $61 from $53, while keeping an Outperform rating. This adjustment reflects a positive outlook on the company's recent financial performance and future revenue potential.

The September quarterly results for Dynatrace were notably strong, with the company exceeding expectations in nearly all reported metrics. Despite this, the analyst from BMO Capital Markets noted that investors might feel underwhelmed by the provided guide for Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR).

The guidance for the second half of fiscal year 2025 was deemed conservative, although the analyst had anticipated that the ARR guide would not be increased post the first quarter.

BMO Capital's increased price target to $61 is influenced by the growing belief that Dynatrace's ARR guidance for fiscal year 2025 has room for positive adjustment. The analyst's outlook suggests that the potential for higher ARR could drive the company's valuation upward.

At the new price target, Dynatrace's enterprise value to free cash flow (EV/FCF) to revenue growth multiple aligns with those typically seen in the growth software sector. This comparison indicates that the stock is being valued in line with industry standards given its growth prospects.

Dynatrace's stock adjustment reflects BMO Capital's analysis of the company's performance and market position. The firm's commentary highlights the balance between current performance metrics and conservative future revenue guidance, suggesting that Dynatrace may have the potential to outperform its own forecasts for the coming fiscal years.

In other recent news, Dynatrace has been making significant strides in the market. The company's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) saw a 19% year-over-year growth to $1.62 billion, while subscription revenue also increased by 20%. These developments were backed by significant customer expansions and the adoption of Dynatrace's innovative platform.

Loop Capital raised Dynatrace's price target to $55, maintaining a Hold rating, while Guggenheim reiterated its Buy rating with a $64 price target. Loop Capital's revised target reflects higher cash flow estimates and potential for sustained business momentum, while Guggenheim highlighted the company's substantial performance and total revenue exceeding expectations.

Dynatrace's go-to-market strategy, which targets larger IT accounts and partnerships, has contributed to a net retention rate of 112%. Despite strong Q2 performance, the company maintains its full-year ARR guidance at $1.72 to $1.735 billion, reflecting 15% to 16% growth. However, the total revenue guidance for the full year was raised to $1.67 to $1.68 billion, and non-GAAP operating margin guidance increased to 28% to 28.25%.

These are recent developments, and Guggenheim anticipates sustainable mid to high teens growth as the go-to-market changes further mature and take effect. While there are some uncertainties due to the new sales representatives and accounts, the company has seen an increase in partner-sourced deals, now representing nearly 50% of the total.

InvestingPro Insights

Dynatrace's strong financial performance, as highlighted in the article, is further supported by real-time data from InvestingPro. The company's impressive gross profit margin of 82.41% for the last twelve months as of Q2 2025 underscores its operational efficiency. This aligns with one of the InvestingPro Tips, which notes Dynatrace's "impressive gross profit margins."

Additionally, the company's revenue growth of 20.58% over the same period demonstrates its ability to expand its market presence, which is crucial for a software intelligence firm in a competitive landscape. This growth trajectory supports BMO Capital's optimistic outlook on Dynatrace's potential to exceed its ARR guidance.

However, investors should note that Dynatrace is trading at a high P/E ratio of 104.63, which is consistent with another InvestingPro Tip highlighting its "high earnings multiple." This valuation metric suggests that the market has high expectations for the company's future growth, aligning with the analyst's increased price target.

For those seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips on Dynatrace, providing deeper insights into the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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