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Dividend stability contrasts with earnings lag for Pinnacle West stock, says Barclays

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 11/18/2024, 05:28 AM
PNW
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On Monday, Barclays (LON:BARC) announced a downgrade of Pinnacle West Capital (NYSE:PNW) stock from Overweight to Equal Weight, adjusting the price target to $91 from $93. The firm cited that the improvements in Arizona's jurisdiction post-election are already reflected in the stock's price, with an anticipated return on equity (ROE) lag through the year 2026.

The report from Barclays highlighted the expectation of a continued ROE lag for Pinnacle West Capital, which has led to a reduction in earnings per share (EPS) estimates extending through 2027. The revised price target of $91 represents a modest decrease from the previous target of $93.

Barclays' analysis points to the Arizona market as fundamentally improving, which is positive news for Pinnacle West Capital. However, the firm believes that these advancements have been adequately factored into the current share price, prompting the adjustment in stock rating and price target.

The downgrade to Equal Weight suggests that Barclays sees Pinnacle West Capital as appropriately valued at its current price, with limited potential for outperformance in the near term. The new price target of $91 indicates a more conservative outlook on the stock's future price movement.

Investors and market watchers will take note of Barclays' updated stance on Pinnacle West Capital as they assess the company's position within the utilities sector and its potential for growth in the coming years, especially considering the anticipated ROE lag.

In other recent news, Pinnacle West Capital Corporation (NYSE:PNW) disclosed its third-quarter earnings for 2024. The earnings call, led by Chairman and CEO Jeff Guldner and CFO Andrew Cooper, highlighted the company's financial performance and provided detailed financial information through the company's third-quarter Form 10-Q filing.

The executives also discussed the company's future expectations but cautioned that actual results could significantly differ from current forecasts.

These recent developments underscore the importance of transparency in the company's financial health and future direction. However, the executives also emphasized the inherent uncertainty of forward-looking statements and advised stakeholders to review the risk factors carefully.

The earnings call and related materials are available on the Pinnacle West Investor Relations website for those interested in a deeper dive into the company's recent performance.

Although there were no specific bullish highlights or misses mentioned, the company's forward-looking statements and caution regarding potential risks that could affect future performance paint a complex picture of Pinnacle West Capital's future trajectory.

InvestingPro Insights

To complement Barclays' analysis, InvestingPro data offers additional context on Pinnacle West Capital's financial health and market position. The company's P/E ratio of 16.89 and adjusted P/E ratio of 17.46 for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 suggest a relatively moderate valuation compared to earnings. This aligns with Barclays' view that improvements in Arizona's jurisdiction are already reflected in the stock price.

Notably, Pinnacle West Capital has maintained dividend payments for 32 consecutive years and has raised its dividend for 13 consecutive years, as highlighted by InvestingPro Tips. This demonstrates a strong commitment to shareholder returns, which could be appealing to income-focused investors despite the anticipated ROE lag mentioned by Barclays.

The company's revenue growth of 6.52% over the last twelve months and quarterly growth of 8.0% in Q3 2024 indicate steady expansion, potentially offsetting some concerns about earnings growth. Additionally, with a dividend yield of 3.9%, Pinnacle West Capital may still attract investors seeking stable income streams in the utilities sector.

InvestingPro Tips also point out that the stock is trading near its 52-week high, which corroborates Barclays' assessment that much of the positive outlook is already priced in. Investors considering Pinnacle West Capital might benefit from exploring the additional 7 tips available on InvestingPro to gain a more comprehensive understanding of the company's prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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