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Dell stock outlook revised, Outperform rating stays on strong AI server pipeline

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 11/27/2024, 07:01 AM
DELL
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On Wednesday, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities adjusted its price target on shares of Dell Technologies Inc (NYSE:NYSE:DELL) to $150 from the previous $155, while reiterating an Outperform rating on the stock. The adjustment follows Dell's recent earnings report for the October quarter, which revealed revenues of $24.4 billion, slightly below the consensus estimate of $24.6 billion. The company also provided guidance for the January quarter, expecting revenue to be roughly flat quarter-over-quarter at $24.5 billion, which falls short of the consensus projection of $25.4 billion.

Dell's Artificial Intelligence (AI) server revenue was a focal point, with orders in this segment reaching $3.6 billion, a 13% increase from the previous quarter, and the backlog growing by 18% to $4.5 billion. The pipeline for AI server orders also showed a significant increase, surging over 50% quarter-over-quarter. Despite these strong order numbers, AI server revenue declined by approximately 6% quarter-over-quarter, and the guidance for the upcoming quarter is slightly down, contributing to a negative after-hours trading reaction.

The company's Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG), which includes AI servers, demonstrated robust operating margins of 13.3%, a substantial increase of approximately 230 basis points from the prior quarter. However, the report also noted a delay in the PC refresh cycle, which could impact near-term performance.

Mizuho's commentary emphasized Dell's competitive position in the AI server market, suggesting that the company is capturing orders amid uncertainty faced by its competitors. The firm anticipates that Dell's AI server revenues will continue to grow into the 2025 fiscal year. Despite the reduced price target, Mizuho remains optimistic about Dell's prospects, citing potential tailwinds from a strong PC and AI PC refresh cycle in the coming years.

In other recent news, Dell Technologies reported a 10% increase in total revenue, reaching $24.4 billion, driven by the Infrastructure Solutions Group (ISG) which experienced a significant surge in revenue due to a focus on AI infrastructure and server solutions. The company's earnings per share also rose to $2.15, marking a 14% year-over-year increase. Dell's AI server orders reached a record $3.6 billion, indicating a robust demand in the AI server market. In recent analyst assessments, Citi maintained a Buy rating on Dell but reduced the price target to $156 from $160, Goldman Sachs also maintained a Buy rating and increased its price target to $165, and Bernstein SocGen Group upheld its Outperform rating with a price target of $140.00. Despite a slight decrease in the Client Solutions Group (CSG) revenue, Dell remains optimistic about fiscal year 2026, expecting growth in PC and server refresh cycles and a continued rise in demand for AI servers. These recent developments reflect Dell's strategic focus on AI infrastructure and server solutions, which has resulted in substantial growth in its ISG.

InvestingPro Insights

Dell Technologies Inc (NYSE:DELL) continues to demonstrate strong financial performance and market positioning, as reflected in recent InvestingPro data and tips. The company's market capitalization stands at an impressive $99.5 billion, underscoring its significant presence in the Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals industry.

InvestingPro data reveals that Dell has achieved a remarkable 93.3% price total return over the past year, aligning with Mizuho's optimistic outlook on the company's future prospects. This performance is further supported by a strong 27.16% return over the last three months, indicating positive momentum in the stock.

Two key InvestingPro Tips highlight Dell's financial strategy and shareholder value creation. Firstly, management has been aggressively buying back shares, which often signals confidence in the company's future and can potentially boost earnings per share. Secondly, Dell boasts a high shareholder yield, suggesting a commitment to returning value to investors through dividends and share repurchases.

These insights complement Mizuho's analysis of Dell's competitive position in the AI server market and the anticipated growth in AI server revenues. The company's ability to maintain strong financial performance while investing in future growth areas like AI aligns with its robust market returns and shareholder-friendly policies.

For investors seeking a deeper understanding of Dell's financial health and growth prospects, InvestingPro offers 13 additional tips, providing a comprehensive view of the company's strengths and potential challenges in the evolving tech hardware landscape.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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