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Compass Point boosts Boston Properties stock target, citing attractive 6.9% implied yield

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 11/14/2024, 06:40 AM
BXP
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On Thursday, Boston Properties Inc. (NYSE: NYSE:BXP) received an upgrade in its stock rating by Compass Point, moving from Neutral to Buy. The firm also increased its price target for the company's shares to $88.00, rising from the previous $80.00. The adjustment comes as Compass Point identifies Boston Properties as a blue-chip office real estate company that has underperformed compared to its Manhattan-focused peers by more than 30% year-to-date (YTD), despite possessing a stronger balance sheet and a higher-quality office portfolio.

Boston Properties, which is considered an investment-grade credit, enjoys ongoing access to unsecured debt markets. The company's fixed charge coverage ratio stands at three times, double that of its covenant, which is a stark contrast to its New York City peers who are within half a turn of their covenants. Boston Properties also boasts a three-year estimated cash liquidity of $1.9 billion, the highest in the sector, according to Compass Point.

The firm believes that Boston Properties' exposure to the West Coast office market has been a drag on the share price due to less favorable office fundamentals in that region. However, Compass Point anticipates a slow rebound in tech demand, particularly driven by advancements in artificial intelligence, which could lead to an increase in tech leasing demand from current low levels. The recovery of the West Coast office market is estimated to be 18-24 months behind that of Manhattan and Boston, which are key markets for Boston Properties.

Furthermore, Compass Point highlights that with a broader market exposure, Boston Properties is well-positioned to invest in high-quality distressed office properties, although transactions for such buildings have been minimal so far. The company's shares are trading at a four-turn funds from operations (FFO) multiple discount compared to its office peers, and its net asset value (NAV) premium of 13% is the lowest among them. With a 6.9% implied yield, Compass Point views Boston Properties as offering the best relative value in their office coverage at this point in time.

In other recent news, Boston Properties Inc. has been the focus of several developments. The company recently saw its price target raised to $80 from $75 by financial services firm Compass Point, which maintained a neutral stance on the stock. This adjustment followed an earnings report from Boston Properties that exceeded analysts' projections, despite a 2.0% decline in same-store net operating income.

Boston Properties, known for its central business district office holdings, has a significant signed new office pipeline projected to fuel future growth. The company's strong liquidity and comparatively low leverage were noted as factors that could enable it to focus investment capital on privately held office assets, especially those requiring additional funding or with incomplete capital structures.

In addition, Boston Properties reported a strong third quarter performance in 2024, outperforming forecasts with funds from operations per share and a significant 25% increase in year-to-date leasing activity. The company also has several major projects underway, including a $2 billion project at 343 Madison Avenue set to launch next year. Despite some challenges, such as significant sublease space in markets like San Francisco and Boston suburbs, Boston Properties maintains a positive outlook and is exploring alternative uses for suburban office properties.

InvestingPro Insights

Boston Properties Inc. (NYSE: BXP) continues to demonstrate resilience in a challenging office real estate market. According to InvestingPro data, the company's market capitalization stands at $14.0 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the industry. BXP's revenue growth of 4.47% over the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 aligns with Compass Point's view of the company's potential for recovery and growth.

InvestingPro Tips highlight BXP's strong financial position, noting that the company has maintained dividend payments for 28 consecutive years. This consistency in dividend payments underscores the company's financial stability, which Compass Point emphasized in their analysis of BXP's balance sheet strength. Additionally, BXP's profitability over the last twelve months and analysts' predictions of continued profitability this year support the positive outlook presented in the article.

The company's P/E ratio of 35.64 may seem high at first glance, but when considered alongside the PEG ratio of 0.39, it suggests that BXP might be trading at a reasonable valuation relative to its growth prospects. This aligns with Compass Point's assessment that BXP offers the best relative value among its office peers.

Investors seeking more comprehensive insights can access 9 additional InvestingPro Tips for Boston Properties, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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