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Citi lifts BlackLine stock target, keeps neutral rating on solid Q3 results

EditorNatashya Angelica
Published 11/08/2024, 09:59 AM
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On Friday, Citi analyst Steven Enders raised the price target on BlackLine (NASDAQ:BL) shares to $64 from the previous $52 while maintaining a Neutral rating on the shares. This adjustment follows the company's third-quarter financial performance, which exceeded expectations with a 1.7% revenue upside compared to consensus estimates and an average of 1.1% over the last four quarters.

BlackLine's Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) saw an 11% year-over-year increase, and Short-Term subscription bookings surged 17% from the previous year. Furthermore, the company generated a robust Free Cash Flow (FCF) of $49 million, surpassing forecasts by $18 million.

The positive results from the third quarter were carried through to BlackLine's full-year guidance. The company's success was attributed to strong performance in its enterprise segment and Strategic Products, which accounted for 31% of sales. However, the mid-market segment experienced expected churn due to changes in the go-to-market strategy, affecting user numbers and brand logos.

BlackLine has set new medium-term targets that aim for 13-16% growth and an operating margin (OM) of 26-30%. These targets indicate a significant acceleration and expansion in margin compared to the calendar year 2024 guidance of 11% growth and a 20% OM. The raised price target to $64 reflects the company's favorable results and the potential for growth and margin improvement.

Enders noted the company's strong quarter and the new medium-term targets, stating, "We view the result favorably, raising our TP to $64, and look to the Investor Day for clarity on the LT opportunity/driver to re-acceleration." Industry observers and investors are now looking forward to BlackLine's Investor Day for further details on the company's long-term prospects and strategies for continued growth.

In other recent news, BlackLine, a provider of financial automation software solutions, has reported notable earnings and revenue results. Q2 2024 revenues reached $161 million with a non-GAAP net income of $43 million. The company also announced the upcoming retirement of CFO Mark Partin, with Chief Accounting Officer Patrick Villanova set to succeed him in March 2025.

Analyst firms have made recent adjustments in their outlooks for BlackLine. Piper Sandler increased its price target from $51.00 to $60.00, maintaining a Neutral rating, while Goldman Sachs raised its shares target to $51.00 but retained a Sell rating. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) upgraded the stock from Equalweight to Overweight, and Baird maintained an Outperform rating.

Moreover, BlackLine appointed David Henshall, an experienced executive in enterprise software and financial management, to its Board of Directors. Investment activity saw Jana Partners establishing a new position in BlackLine, acquiring nearly a 2% stake.

Looking ahead, BlackLine anticipates a total GAAP revenue for Q3 to be between $162 million and $164 million, indicating an 8% to 9% growth. These are recent developments in the company's financial performance and strategic initiatives.

InvestingPro Insights

BlackLine's recent performance and future outlook align well with several key metrics and insights from InvestingPro. The company's market cap stands at $3.7 billion, reflecting its significant presence in the financial software sector. InvestingPro data shows that BlackLine's revenue growth remains solid at 11.39% over the last twelve months, supporting the company's positive guidance and medium-term targets mentioned in the article.

Two relevant InvestingPro Tips highlight BlackLine's financial health and market performance. Firstly, the company "operates with a moderate level of debt," which is crucial for maintaining financial flexibility as it pursues its growth strategies. Secondly, BlackLine has shown a "strong return over the last three months," with InvestingPro data indicating a 16.16% price total return in that period. This aligns with the positive market reaction to the company's recent financial results and raised guidance.

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 8 additional tips that could provide deeper insights into BlackLine's investment potential.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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