California Resources stock stable post-merger, but catalysts remain unclear

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 12/20/2024, 04:05 AM
CRC
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On Friday, JPMorgan initiated coverage on California Resources Corporation (NYSE:CRC) stock, a $4.7 billion market cap independent oil and natural gas exploration and production company, with a Neutral rating and a price target of $63.00 per share. The new price target is set with a December 25, 2025 expectation. According to InvestingPro data, the company generates $2.6 billion in annual revenue and offers a 3% dividend yield.

The firm highlighted the company's recent merger with Aera Energy, which has provided California Resources with increased stability. Additionally, the company's advancements in its carbon capture and storage (CCS) business through its Carbon TerraVault joint venture were acknowledged. InvestingPro analysis shows the company trades at an attractive P/E ratio of 7.1x while maintaining a healthy financial profile with moderate debt levels.

Despite these positive developments, the analyst expressed concerns regarding the company's exposure to oil price fluctuations, predicting an oversupplied oil market in 2025. This market condition is expected to potentially hinder the stock's performance.

The analysis also pointed out that, regardless of commodity prices, California Resources faces unique challenges. Specific catalysts that could affect the company's performance are uncertain due to current regulatory ambiguities. This uncertainty contributed to the firm's decision to maintain a Neutral stance on the stock.

In summary, while recognizing California Resources' post-merger growth and its progress in carbon management, JPMorgan remains cautious due to the anticipated oil market dynamics and regulatory uncertainties affecting the company's unique catalysts.

In other recent news, California Resources Corporation has undergone several significant developments. The company reported a robust third-quarter performance, with $402 million in adjusted EBITDAX and $141 million in free cash flow, returning $76 million to shareholders. Following its merger with Aera Energy, it has become the largest oil producer in the state.

Citi revised its price target for California Resources to $62.00, maintaining a Buy rating despite a slight decrease in the carbon capture business's projected value. Simultaneously, TD Cowen raised its price target to $74.00, emphasizing potential growth in 2025 driven by the '24 Aera deal acquisition and carbon capture initiatives.

Moreover, Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities increased its price target from $62.00 to $66.00, maintaining an Outperform rating after observing the company's strong performance and synergies realized through the Aera Energy merger. The company has also hedged 72% of its 2025 oil production at $67 per barrel and plans to continue share repurchases, with $600 million remaining under authorization.

Lastly, California Resources announced the appointment of Clio C. Crespy as the new Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, effective from January 1, 2025. These recent developments underscore California Resources' commitment to strategic growth and operational efficiency.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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