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BMO slashes SolarEdge shares target due to weak 4Q outlook

EditorIsmeta Mujdragic
Published 11/07/2024, 06:17 PM
© Pavlo Gonchar / SOPA Images/Sipa via Reuters Connect
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On Thursday, BMO Capital Markets adjusted its outlook on SolarEdge Technologies (NASDAQ:SEDG), a company specializing in solar inverters and energy storage. The firm reduced the price target for SolarEdge's shares to $12.00, a significant decrease from the previous target of $21.00. Despite the change in price target, the analyst maintained a Market Perform rating on the stock.

The revision followed SolarEdge's release of its fourth-quarter guidance, which indicated a downturn in performance. The analyst noted that the European market's deterioration had been more severe than previously anticipated, affecting the company's revenue and margins. This led to a reassessment of SolarEdge's forward estimates for the year 2025 and beyond.

The company's financial situation appears to be under scrutiny, especially considering the upcoming debt maturity in September 2025, which amounts to $347.5 million. This concern is compounded by SolarEdge's recent cash burn, with a free cash flow (FCF) of negative $111 million reported, and an expectation of continued negative FCF in the fourth quarter.

SolarEdge's management has also refrained from providing updates on the previously stated quarterly revenue target of $550 million. This lack of update is attributed to the recent average selling price (ASP) reductions, which have not been factored into the fourth-quarter revenue guidance. The next few months are deemed critical for SolarEdge as it navigates these financial challenges.

In other recent news, SolarEdge Technologies faces significant financial challenges, as indicated by recent analyst adjustments and the company's financial reports. Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities, JPMorgan, BofA Securities, and Piper Sandler have all adjusted their outlooks on SolarEdge.

Mizuho downgraded the stock from Outperform to Neutral and significantly reduced the price target to $11. JPMorgan cut its stock price target to $18.00 while maintaining an Overweight rating. BofA Securities reduced its price target to $10.00 and maintained an Underperform rating, and Piper Sandler downgraded the stock to Underweight and reduced the price target to $9.00.

These adjustments come after SolarEdge reported a third-quarter loss of $15.33 per share, significantly higher than the projected loss of $1.65 per share. The company's revenue also declined by 64% year-over-year to $260.9 million, falling short of the estimated $272.8 million.

Looking ahead, SolarEdge's Q4 projections are not meeting expectations, with projected revenue between $180 million and $200 million, well beneath the consensus of $309.2 million.

In response to these financial challenges, Interim CEO Ronen Faier has emphasized the company's focus on financial stability and refocusing on core solar and storage opportunities. SolarEdge is in the process of appointing a new CEO, with an announcement expected before the end of the year.

These are recent developments in SolarEdge's financial standing.

InvestingPro Insights

Recent InvestingPro data paints a challenging picture for SolarEdge Technologies, aligning with BMO Capital Markets' reduced outlook. The company's market capitalization has shrunk to $823.53 million, reflecting investor concerns. SolarEdge's revenue for the last twelve months as of Q3 2024 stood at $1.05 billion, but more alarmingly, the company reported a negative gross profit of $736.11 million during the same period, resulting in a gross profit margin of -70.32%.

InvestingPro Tips highlight additional concerns. The company is "quickly burning through cash," which corroborates the analyst's worry about the upcoming debt maturity and negative free cash flow. Furthermore, "9 analysts have revised their earnings downwards for the upcoming period," suggesting widespread pessimism about SolarEdge's near-term prospects.

The stock's performance has been notably poor, with a 1-year price total return of -79.94% as of the latest data. This decline is consistent with the InvestingPro Tip noting that the "stock has taken a big hit over the last six months."

For investors seeking a more comprehensive analysis, InvestingPro offers 16 additional tips for SolarEdge Technologies, providing a deeper understanding of the company's financial health and market position.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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