On Monday, Severn Trent Plc (LON:SVT:LN) (OTC: SVTRF) saw an upgrade in its stock rating by Bernstein SocGen Group, moving from Market Perform to Outperform. Accompanying the upgrade, the firm also raised the price target for Severn Trent from GBP27.20 to GBP30.50. The revision reflects the anticipated earnings growth due to higher-than-expected allowed revenues projected for the fiscal years 2026 to 2030.
The analyst at Bernstein SocGen Group, Deepa Venkateswaran, highlighted the reasons behind the optimistic outlook. "We are upgrading Severn Trent from Market Perform to Outperform and increase our PT from 2,720p to 3.050p given significant earnings improvement on the back of higher-than-expected allowed revenues in FY26e-FY30e," Venkateswaran stated.
This expected revenue surge positions Severn Trent to potentially be the fastest-growing UK Water utility during the Asset Management Plan 8 (AMP8) period, with a 9.2% nominal Regulatory Capital Value (RCV) Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR).
The analysis by Bernstein also included projections about the company's RCV premium—a measure of the market value compared to the regulated capital value of the utility. By the end of the fiscal year 2025, the RCV premium is calculated to be approximately 12.5%. However, this premium is expected to contract to around a 4% discount by the end of fiscal year 2030, effectively narrowing the gap at which Severn Trent trades compared to its industry peers.
This positive outlook for Severn Trent's financial performance over the next several years, as expressed by Bernstein SocGen Group, is based on the firm's analysis of the company's revenue potentials and market positioning.
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