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Bernstein SocGen keeps Market Perform rating on Lamb Weston, cautious on Post acquisition

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 12/16/2024, 06:50 AM
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On Monday, Bernstein reaffirmed its Market Perform rating on Lamb Weston Holdings Inc (NYSE:LW) with a steady price target of $85.00. Currently trading at $79.27 with a market capitalization of $11.3 billion, Lamb Weston maintains a GOOD financial health score according to InvestingPro analysis.

The reiteration follows recent speculation about a potential acquisition by Post Holdings (NYSE:POST), which was reported last Friday. Neither Lamb Weston nor Post Holdings has issued an official statement regarding the acquisition rumors.

According to the report, Post Holdings, known for its presence in the food industry, is considering a takeover of Lamb Weston, a producer of frozen potato products. This isn't the first time Post Holdings has shown interest in Lamb Weston; they contemplated a purchase before Lamb Weston was spun off from Conagra Brands (NYSE:CAG) in November 2016.

The news of the potential acquisition led to a market reaction where Lamb Weston's shares increased by 6.8%, while Post Holdings experienced a 2.2% decline in their share price. The analyst pointed out that while a strategic fit exists, with Lamb Weston primarily serving foodservice channels and Post Holdings having a segment in potato-based products, the financial feasibility of the deal remains in question.

Lamb Weston's strong foothold in foodservice with 85% of its sales, compared to Post's 29%, alongside Post's existing 10% sales in potato-based products, suggests some level of synergy. However, the larger concern revolves around Post's ability to finance such a significant transaction.

With a current leverage of 4.3x net debt to EBITDA, the acquisition would require careful financial planning, including securing favorable interest rates and potentially issuing equity to fund the deal.

The analyst concluded by emphasizing the uncertainty surrounding the global supply and demand for frozen potatoes and the financial logistics of a deal of this magnitude. With Lamb Weston's current debt-to-equity ratio of 2.21 and revenue growth of 9.61%, the financial dynamics require careful consideration. The potential acquisition's success would heavily depend on Post's financial strategy and market conditions.

For deeper insights into Lamb Weston's financial position and comprehensive analysis, investors can access detailed valuation metrics and expert analysis through InvestingPro's extensive research reports, available for over 1,400 US stocks.

In other recent news, Lamb Weston Holdings has been in the spotlight due to significant developments.

The company is reportedly in sale talks with Post Holdings, a development that has seen its stock rise. Lamb Weston has also drawn attention from Bernstein SocGen Group and Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn), with the former maintaining a Market Perform rating and the latter initiating coverage with a Hold rating.

The company's financial health has been a focus, with Bernstein SocGen Group forecasting lower gross margins and earnings per share for the coming quarter. Deutsche Bank, while noting financial pressures, sees recovery potential for Lamb Weston.

Lamb Weston's decision to release its fiscal 2025 second quarter results earlier than usual has raised questions, with analysts expressing concerns about potential downside risks to the market's expectations.

The company has also attracted activist investors JANA Partners and Continental Grain, who have disclosed stakes and intend to engage with Lamb Weston's board and management.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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