Barclays sees upside in Crown Castle stock with tower business driving FCF growth

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 01/13/2025, 05:36 AM
CCI
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On Monday, Barclays (LON:BARC) upgraded Crown Castle (NYSE:CCI) stock, trading on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker NYSE:CCI, from Equal Weight to Overweight, setting a price target of $104.00. The upgrade comes as the stock trades near its 52-week low of $84.20, with InvestingPro data showing the stock is currently in oversold territory. The upgrade reflects a positive outlook on the company's potential following a significant strategic move.

Barclays analysis suggests that Crown Castle's shares offer an attractive entry point at present, trading at approximately 19 times the firm's estimated 2026 Adjusted Funds From Operations (AFFOps). With a substantial 7.42% dividend yield and a market capitalization of $36.65 billion, the company maintains its position as a prominent player in the Specialized REITs industry. This valuation comes in the wake of rumors regarding the sale of Crown Castle's fiber business for $8 billion, which would transform the company into a pure-play U.S. tower entity.

The anticipated sale is expected to enhance Crown Castle's financial profile, resulting in a 4.8% free cash flow yield. Barclays projects that, post-transaction, the company's shares could trade at a 21x multiple due to its concentrated U.S. market presence and a more straightforward cash flow narrative, which could justify a premium compared to its peers.

The Barclays analyst also presented a scenario where, if their projections are incorrect, Crown Castle's AFFOps could be approximately 43 cents lower than the 2026 estimate. In such a case, the multiple might contract to around 17 times, leading to a share price of approximately $77.

However, Barclays argues that the potential rewards outweigh the risks, making it a favorable investment opportunity. InvestingPro subscribers can access 8 additional key insights and a comprehensive Pro Research Report that provides deep-dive analysis of Crown Castle's financial health and growth prospects.

The upgrade by Barclays signals confidence in Crown Castle's strategic focus on the U.S. tower market and its ability to generate solid financial returns in the coming years. The new Overweight rating and $104 price target reflect an optimistic view of Crown Castle's future performance and market positioning.

In other recent news, Crown Castle Inc. announced that Chief Financial Officer Daniel K. Schlanger will step down from his role on March 31, 2025. The company has not yet named a successor and the search for a new CFO is underway.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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