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Barclays bullish on First Quantum stock, sees multiple catalysts driving upside

EditorEmilio Ghigini
Published 11/12/2024, 03:20 AM
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On Tuesday, Barclays (LON:BARC) upgraded First Quantum Minerals Ltd . (TSX:FM:CN) (OTC: FQVLF (OTC:FQVLF)) stock from Equalweight to Overweight, also increasing the price target to C$25.00 from the previous C$18.00. The adjustment by the firm reflects a positive outlook on the mining company's near-term prospects.

The upgrade is influenced by several factors that could act as catalysts for the company's growth. First Quantum (NASDAQ:QMCO)'s management expressed on a recent conference call that the Panama government is close to approving the Cobre Panama's preservation and safe management program.

This approval is significant as it would allow the company to sell its copper concentrate stockpiles, which could potentially generate around $280 million in revenue.

Additionally, the potential sale of the Las Cruces mine is another reason for the optimistic assessment. Barclays' Net Asset Value (NAV) estimate for this asset is US$325 million. This valuation is derived from an average of the 43-101 Net Present Value (NPV) estimates, which are $392 million at an 8% Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC) and $257 million at a 10% WACC.

The third factor contributing to the positive outlook is the ongoing discussions regarding the sale of a minority stake in First Quantum's Zambian assets. The firm's NAV for these assets is US$14.5 billion, an increase from the previous $11.1 billion valuation, based on a long-term copper price of $5 per pound and an 8% real WACC.

Barclays' analyst notes underscore the potential for these developments to significantly impact First Quantum's financial position and market performance. The company's stock is poised to benefit if these positive catalysts materialize in the near term as anticipated.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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