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Baird sees valuation expansion potential for Trimble stock amid improved visibility and FCF growth

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 12/11/2024, 01:03 PM
TRMB
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On Wednesday, Baird took a positive stance on Trimble Navigation (NASDAQ:TRMB), increasing the stock's price target to $90 from $82, while reiterating an Outperform rating. The stock, currently trading at $74.12, has shown remarkable strength with a 54% return over the past year. According to InvestingPro data, seven analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates upward for the upcoming period.

The firm's analyst pointed to Trimble's business model transformation as a key driver for higher core sales and profit growth, which enhances the company's financial visibility, particularly in terms of Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR).

The analyst noted that Trimble's updated financial targets align with expectations, showing a positive bias. These targets had been previously hinted at during the third-quarter earnings conference call. Despite this prior preview, the analyst believes there are still opportunities for the stock's value to climb, depending on how the company decides to reinvest its resources.

With a robust gross profit margin of 66% and strong financial health score according to InvestingPro, Trimble demonstrates solid operational efficiency.

The decision to lift the valuation perspective and the price target for Trimble is based on the potential for multiple expansions. This optimism is rooted in Trimble's growth, margin, and free cash flow (FCF) profile, which the analyst describes as having compounder traits. Trading at a P/E ratio of 12.44 and commanding a market capitalization of $18.09 billion, the company maintains a moderate debt level while delivering solid returns.

Additionally, the sizeable, under-penetrated Total (EPA:TTEF) Addressable Market (TAM) and the opportunity to leverage a rich installed base for cross-selling through Trimble's unique portfolio of hardware and software solutions further justify the positive outlook. Discover more comprehensive insights and financial metrics with a InvestingPro subscription.

In other recent news, Trimble Inc. has seen a significant shift towards a software-centric business model, a move that has resulted in software and services now accounting for 75% of sales, up from 55% in 2019. This transition has positively affected the company's financials, improving gross margins from 58% to 70%.

Bernstein, a division of SocGen Group, has raised its price target on Trimble to $85, citing the company's successful shift. Additionally, Trimble reported a solid 14% organic growth in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR), reaching $2.187 billion, and a record gross margin of 68.5%.

JPMorgan has also shown confidence in Trimble, upgrading its stock rating from Neutral to Overweight and increasing the price target to $92. The firm anticipates an acceleration in Trimble's organic growth, driven by a cyclical recovery in hardware and stable software growth.

On the other hand, Trimble is currently under scrutiny by the Nasdaq Stock Market due to non-compliance with filing requirements. The company is working closely with Ernst & Young LLP to complete an assessment of its internal controls over financial reporting and plans to appeal the decision.

Trimble's new go-to-market strategy has shown to be effective, with the company completing its digital transformation and reorganizing its sales force. This led to increased cross-selling, which could add an additional $1.4 billion by around 2027. Trimble also plans to divest its mobility business to focus on high-growth sectors and has strategic partnerships with Deere (NYSE:DE) and Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) to enhance technology adoption.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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