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Analyst reiterates Overweight on Diamondback Energy stock despite recent pullback

EditorAhmed Abdulazez Abdulkadir
Published 12/04/2024, 12:05 PM
FANG
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The analyst pointed out that Diamondback (NASDAQ:FANG) Energy's valuation is supported by a positive rate of change in well productivity and a core inventory duration that contributes to a lower recycle ratio relative to its peers.

Additionally, the firm anticipates that Diamondback will continue to benefit from deleveraging catalysts, including an anticipated mineral and royalty drop to Viper Energy Partners (NASDAQ:VNOM) in the fiscal year 2025.The $252.00 price target is justified by Diamondback Energy's projected enterprise value to EBITDA ratio for 2025, which at 5.7x stands above the peer group average of 4.3x.

Currently trading at a P/E ratio of 9.97x and demonstrating strong returns over the past decade, InvestingPro data reveals the company maintains healthy profitability metrics and has consistently paid dividends for seven consecutive years. Piper Sandler's analysis suggests that Diamondback's operational efficiency and financial strategy position it favorably for continued growth and resilience in the face of broader market challenges.

Diamondback Energy's stock has seen a year-to-date increase of +14% compared to the +5% of the S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Select Industry Index (XOP), although it is currently trading lower than its July peak, which saw a +35% gain. Piper Sandler suggests that the recent dip in the stock's price presents a buying opportunity, believing that Diamondback deserves a premium valuation.

The analyst pointed out that Diamondback Energy's valuation is supported by a positive rate of change in well productivity and a core inventory duration that contributes to a lower recycle ratio relative to its peers. Additionally, the firm anticipates that Diamondback will continue to benefit from deleveraging catalysts, including an anticipated mineral and royalty drop to Viper Energy Partners (NASDAQ:VNOM) in the fiscal year 2025.

The $252.00 price target is justified by Diamondback Energy's projected enterprise value to EBITDA ratio for 2025, which at 5.7x stands above the peer group average of 4.3x. Piper Sandler's analysis suggests that Diamondback's operational efficiency and financial strategy position it favorably for continued growth and resilience in the face of broader market challenges.

In other recent news, Diamondback Energy has been the focus of several significant developments.

Goldman Sachs has resumed coverage of the company, issuing a Buy rating, citing the company's strategic capital allocation and the recent merger with Endeavor Energy as key factors. The merger is expected to enhance Diamondback's inventory and provide opportunities for further improvements in capital efficiency.

TD Cowen has also maintained a Buy rating on Diamondback Energy, with a price target of $255, highlighting ongoing efficiency gains, durable inventory life, and a strategic plan for reducing medium-term debt as the main reasons.

Diamondback Energy has announced several strategic moves to enhance cost efficiency and shareholder value. These include lowering its corporate breakeven price to $37 per barrel and reducing its drilling program to 18 rigs by 2025. The company is also exploring additional revenue through natural gas and surface acreage.

In the latest earnings call, Diamondback Energy's executives outlined a focus on maintaining flexibility and maximizing free cash flow, with a projected capital expenditure for 2025 of $4.1 to $4.4 billion. Operational efficiencies and synergy deliveries are reportedly ahead of the 2025 timeline.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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