Investing.com - Financial Markets Worldwide
Get 40% Off
Get 40% Off
📈 Free Gift Friday: Instantly Copy Legendary Investors' PortfoliosCopy for Free

Nikkei 225 Futures - Jun 24

CME
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
JP225DerivedJPY
SSIc1SingaporeJPY
JNMc1TokyoJPY
SSIc3SingaporeJPY
SSIc2SingaporeJPY
SSIc4SingaporeJPY
JNMc2TokyoJPY
JNMc3TokyoJPY
NKc2CMEUSD
NKc1CMEUSD
Currency in USD
Disclaimer
38,360.00
-100.00(-0.26%)
Delayed Data

Nikkei 225 Futures Discussions

There is no change in interest rates. Stocks always go up. However, the yen's value is falling. The same is true this year.😁😁😁
The big red candles and waterfall drops continue on multiple time frames. Is this a good sign? I, for one, doubt it.
Looks like inverted cup with handle with target 32500-33000
daily or hourly or ?? chart you referring to?
Daily
And monthly I even think it will go back retest 2008-2011 low like exactly Russian index
purely TA... will see next ride up if no break below support
But the number one rule in markets for success is to NEVER lose money. And how is this for a stat? In the long run 92% of traders fail! That means only 8% are successful. Hence, being a trader is a losing game. And what does that mean? It is worse than playing black jack in Las Vegas, so why do it?
there is no Never lose money as long as you're in this market.. even Warren Buffet no 100% win.. but as long as you know when to cut loss and hold for profit, that will make your trading winning chances higher.. by the way, if youre not trading in this market,may I know why you always appear in this forum?
I'm shorting the rips. It's been very profitable. But I dont use stop losses. And if the trade goes against me, I simply wait. My trades have almost always worked well for me for many years. That said, in some cases I have to wait a long time. In this this case, I do have one position that is underwater, but I am just holding it. I have no reason to believe I am wrong. But that said, I typically hold positions for a long time--often two years or in some cases more than ten or twenty years.
Here is more information for you regarding valuation of the Japanese market overall: The current ratio of total market cap over GDP for Japan is 164.36%. The recent 20 year high was 174.27%; the recent 20 low was 45.59%. If we assume that the ratio will reverse to the recent 20 years mean of 95.42% over the next 8 years, the expected annual return for Japanese stocks is -6.57%.
When drop a lot ask people buckle up waterfall coming blablabla. When its up, u say iy shpuld go down, should be back to 22k blablabla. Get a life dude....u remind me of someone name Zencat. She is s*ck too
You sound frustrated. But Japan is a very very dangerous market to be long on. The fundamentals are very poor for Japan and the valuation numbers are ridiculous. As for the technicals, I believe they are very very bearish. I'm sorry if your trades are not working out for you, but I tell it as I see it. I am honest and frank. Sorry if you want someone to agree with you, but I dont.
As for me getting a life--markets are an obsession for me. I ready lots of books and articles about markets and have been doing so for nearly four decades. I have read at least fifty books a year about economics, investing, finance, banking and anything related for a long long time. My father was a financial guy and taught me a lot from his experience, and I love markets. Sorry if that does not seem normal to you but that is me.
selling while US buyers still sleeping😅
Here is what I think is going to happen, and I dont think it will be long now. US employment, which is already rolling over is going to continue to slip down. Inflation is going to hang in for a bit. GDP growth will continue to slow. And then as the maturity wall starts to impact companies more and more, profits will start falling surprisingly. Then the US yield curve will uninvert and then soon after markets will start to fall. Then they will start cutting rates, and the yen vs the dollar will strengthen and then Japanese companies will be forecast to see major drops in profits, and then the US and Japanese markets will both fall hard. And then there will be deflation, but Japan's government debt and the BOJ's balance sheet are so massive that they will have very limited firepower left to prop markets and the economy up further. And at that point the Nikkei will easily be approaching or under 20k. I dont know when but have seen this kind of thing happen lots of times now. And will it be different this time? No.
Here are some numbers for you regarding valuations for a handful of companies. Kao, a soap maker, for example has a PER of over 70. It used to be in the range of 20 or so. How is over 70 for soap maker rational? And here are more numbers for a bunch of companies. Shiseido, a cosmetic maker, over 80. Fast Retailing, a clothes maker, 37. Keyence, factory machine maker, 46. Daikin, air con maker, 30. Tokyo Electron, 47. And the list goes on. Sure there are other companies, but this is the trend I see across a lot of Japanese companies. I have been watching Japanese companies closely for decades, and these number are not normal for Japan, which is a very slow grower. I saw the same thing in Japanese stocks in the year 2000. Nutso valuations and it was widespread. And this is worrisome because not only are these multiples very high, but profits are going to fall, which means a lot of Japanese stocks will drop for two reasons, falling profits and falling multiples. And yeah, you can find cheap stocks in Japan, but I know from experience trading them directly, that most of them stay cheap forever. In most cases nobody but nobody buys the cheap ones.
Sell
Thats why i said Buy the Dip and always make money 😁
One caveat though. Profits have trended upwards, but the forecast is for a very big drop incoming. The forecast puts them at over but in the vicinity of half of the high recent spike in profits due to covid related stimulus and policy. And if the US comes off, and there are rate cuts, the yen with strengthen, and those profits will fall even more--and they will be back in line with GDP--which means this spike in Japanese markets will prove temporary. CAPE and market cap to GDP numbers show Japan's stocks are a bubble.
CAPE and market cap to GDP are the best valuation measure for markets and they are both very high for Japan.
Everyone knows japan stocks is bubble. But since 30k itu keeps going up and up. Me myself have been waiting for it to come down since 32k but it keeps going up and up. This bubble is made of special kind of synthetic rubber 🤔
Buy, buy, buy when you could instead buy a rising index like the Hang Seng index! Losing money is wonderful, isnt it!?
Yeah, because I thought the US was going to be in a recession by now like everyone else. But I am patient. I firmly believe the Nikkei is a bubble index and see NO indication to think otherwise. Profits are falling, the BOJ stopped buying ETFs--which it never should have done in the first place because it was the biggest force in creating a bubble in Japan, I think. Besides, the government debt in Japan is very very high, and history shows that very very high government debt is very negative for a country's growth--hence, it is safe to believe GDP will not grow much long term--and so market cap to GDP numbers give a very accurate indication of the general valuation level in Japan, and it is clearly a bubble.
I dont care if the Nikkei is 38k either. It is a very big bubble now, and if you use a reverse ETF and do not ever take very big positions in anything, then it is an even big opportunity to make good money that it was at 31k. Much better than it was at 31k.
bigger* opportunity to make good money than* it was at 31k.
Once all of the hot money that rushed into Japan figures out that this is going to continue sinking, like it has done again now for a few days, they will leave and go to hot markets like the Hang Seng, and Hong Kong. Soon, there will be rush out of Japanese markets just like there was a rush into it. And when the US market crashes, this will be back under 20k, and still heaing lower. Watch and learn.
I wish the GOP had a sober candidate vs a drama monger who hides behind contraversy. To me politics has become a real chit chow.
As for the other party. Lol. How can spending like a drunken sailor be a good thing?! Another chit chow candidate. In Canada there are three main parties vs two. The US needs a third party.
Always buy the dip and dont be influenced by story teller 😇
Here's a little tip to help you think about it. GDP has been roughly flat for decades. That is because the population in Japan has been falling for decades. Now, because market valuation depends on GDP, and there was a stock bubble in 1989, why would there not be a bubble now if stock prices are about the same now as there were then? Because it's different now? Lol! Because salespeople tell you it's different now? Yeah, sure.
People like you who don't know how to do junior high school math or understand simple logic and listen to salespeople ought to safely invest your money in treasury bonds and forget about it. But there a millions in markets these days just like you. People who have never lived through a bear market and have no idea. And most are going to lose a lot of money.
Look at nikkei right now....hopefully no one listens to you 😇
Oh yeah. The people who believe the salespeople narratives continue to downrate me. Be my guest and go right ahead. Make multiple accounts even and downvote me ten times. If you think salespeople are honest and numbers lie good luck to you. But you are in for a good lesson.
ARM down almost 9% after hours. This is curious because when its profits were surprisingly good it pushed Softbank up and the Nikkei went with it. Now that the opposite is the case, it will be interesting to see if the Nikkei drops sizably. Regardless, the top is in, and in my opinion the direction of this index is firmly down.
You get a sugar high and every time it fades, cram a sugar donut down your gullet. Pretty soon you're eating twenty a day, your arteries slowly getting clogged up, you're getting a gut, even the occasional angina. But you keep cramming the donuts down and despite getting worried stopping has grown really hard. This is the central bankers who ignore what Keynes meant saying: In the end we are all dead. Namely the Fed, the BOJ especially, and others. Ignoring the ideas from the likes of Hayek, Von Mises, and Schumpeter is a pending disaster. And markets are on the cusp of stark reality, I think. GLTA.
only shorting has survive this
ENOUGH PROFIT BOOKIN NOW TIME FOR PUMP
The BOJ's smoke and mirrors show was pretty good long running. Sad its bag of tricks has a huge number of deep, wide and rapidly expanding holes. GLTA.
Chuck U need to take some time off from your obsession
Markets are only one of my obsessions. And that has been the case for about 40 years. Ha ha. I have seen this rodeo before. If people dont like my insights, that is their problem.
U in your golden sixties ❓ U looking like Top Gun Tom Cruise if I may say so. Believe it or not I am fascinated by your lengthy insights
This old dog is going well below its recent low. Buckle up.
nterest rate same. kkkkk. never change this year. stock is increase. yen is poor. 3x leverage 600% revenue kkk. boj always buy stock and make yen. 😁😁😁
Oh yeah, the BOJ which publically announced it ended its ETF purchases lied and the BOJ is directly purchasing shares from you whenever you use levarage, like 3 x leverage. Buy, buy, buy and make ten more accounts on this website and not only downvote disbelievers, but be sure to upvote yourself.
Oh, yeah, Zombi e, lie more. And even believe your lies. The thing about lying is you can do it all you like but the numbers do not lie.
Why ever go down at all?
Oh, it will. And it could be a doozy of a drop i think. If you dont believe me do a search for Japan and its market cap vs GDP and CAPE numbers. Both numbers quite clearly show Japanese stocks as a bubble--in one case the biggest in the world. The US the same, but also includes real estate. And so it is only a matter of time and patience. I'd do what Warren B is doing and have as much cash as you can muster waiting for the day when there will be the bargain sale of a lifetime. But dont trust me. Do your own due diligence. Good luck.
Its liek wish upon a star. Just buy the dip
Oh yeah! Buy the dip alright. And please use as much leverage as you can. And if it goes down more just hold on and wait. And then make ten accounts on this website and downvote posts you know are right but wont help you get your money bsck. Good luck with that.
Waiting for explanation summary for the drop....😁
Another waterfall drop. Probably someone big selling, even the BOJ. In all honesty, were I the BOJ and sitting on a huge pile of ETFs, I would be selling every rip, and selling hard.
just follow Warren Buffet when he is selling then this will crash
The guy sold Apple and is sitting on the biggest cash pile in his history. Just to clue you in, he was doing the same in 2000 and the early 70s, both time before major crashes.
Actually he sold a lot of Apple, not all. But regardless, he is on the sidelines now, sitting on a huge pile of cash just like he was before major crashes in the 70s and the early 2000s.
...
Install Our App
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.