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Nikkei 225 Mini Futures -

Tokyo
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
JP225DerivedJPY
SSIc1SingaporeJPY
JNMc1TokyoJPY
SSIc3SingaporeJPY
SSIc2SingaporeJPY
SSIc4SingaporeJPY
JNMc2TokyoJPY
JNMc3TokyoJPY
NKc1CMEUSD
NKc2CMEUSD
Currency in JPY
36,770.00
-980.00(-2.60%)
Closed

Nikkei 225 Futures Discussions

nikkei in few days 30000
The BOJ is a farce, at best. They ought to have raised rates with high inflation, which was literally a good number of months ago. They had a boatload of excuses rationalizing because they need to grow a pair and lack in IQ points. Now, they ought to have higher rates in place already so they could lower rates into the storm that is coming. The fact that they missed the boat on selling ETFs at the highs as well is a testament to their lack of IQ, and icing on the cake for Japan's stock market. The Japanese investor whom the government incentivized to make stock purchases via NISA is going to take an even tougher series of karate kicks straight to the face soon, much worse than they have already.
I am befuddled by anyone thinking to buy Japanese or US stocks now. A US recession is getting more and more likely, and analysts remain in the dark. People on the street are hurting big time with the unaffordability of everything, including US housing, which is one of the bubbles, and is actually bigger relative to GDP now than in 2008. Not to mention commercial real estate trouble, and the widespread use of mark to myth accounting--or phoney accounting backed by authorities. Hence, I'd tread every carefully in stocks now. Given this index is selling for WAY more than it's worth, for starters, I've personally seen no reason to buy if for a couple years, let alone now. Maybe I missed the boat given all of the euphoria, and the bump in profits that will definitively prove fleeting, but so be it. Anyhow, as for what is priced in and what isn't, that is anyone's guess. There are oceans of uncertainty from multiple angles, making for a sea of unknowns. My take is that the uncertainty stems from disbelief and years of a market that only went up, got rescued repeatedly and pumped up by government spending and central bank pumping, creating massive bubbles in assets, and very high debt levels that are soon to be rolled over en masse. Honestly, I'm not sure the picture could be any worse.
Do you think the tarrifs are priced in now or more red next week - i need to see 37300 again
because i am an idiot after i closed my short and thought it would retest the days high but completely dropped and now im stuck
More losses, Leo? It is impossible to predict the short term 95% of the time. That said, if you know your technical analysis inside out in bear market conditions, you ought to short the rips. Then, if you have to take profits take them and then sit on your hands and wait for another peak. I know from personal experience it is difficult. I am only good at it when prices are relatively good, that is, in fair territory. I do it with value stocks that lag and if the trade goes against me, I just wait it out because value, that is, stocks worth double or triple their selling price, always come back. In this market, you have multiple bubbles. Bubbles make it very tough to guage most of the time because nobody seems to give one iota about what the pieces of paper are really worth. However, when the bubbles start bursting, it is nuts to go long most of the time. In my experience you either short and wait, or stay in cash and wait. There always comes a huge capitulatory spike in volume, where everyone and their dog sells in major panic after prices have already dropped a lot. Stocks are cheap as all heck, undervalued, and the media is about as gloomy as it gets. At that point I start dipping my toes and buying. That is how it is done. After that you keep adding periodically and ride the long term wave up, often over a number of years, all the while collecting nice dividends once things settle down. Do that a few times and you can retire early, put your kids through college, and have a nice retirement. Good luck, but the thought of getting rich quick is the road to poverty. Slow and steady wins the race every time.
you dont trade intraday in these shorts of markets. You ttade big daily swings and you always use stoploss. One wrong trade and it’ll bust your account. Condidering how bad data is i think highly possible i its not getting back to 37K again before seeing 34K first.
31400 SOON HERR BIG CRASH
Ha ha! That is possible.
31400 SOON
This will probably see 12k in time.
If you do the math you quickly see this index is worth 20k at most.
The BOJ still has to sell, guaranteeing this has further to fall over the next few months,
As per usal im in a world if trouble
look at that drop. More drops are coming. 35k soon.
The fact that the BOJ hasn't yet sold its ETFs is actually a good thing. It means there is a LOT more selling to come. The BOJ has been playing in markets for at least two decades, and had a position before the 2008 Lehman shock, that's what it's called in Japan, and they sold it off. Like Ueda mentioned, they are discussing what to do about the position now. My guess is the US is heading into recession--and it looks near a sure thing, and once the Japanese in the carry trade catch on, they will start unwinding en masse. The yen will rally hard with this and the US cutting rates. It will be one heck of a storm and sheet show, possibly triggering or triggered by some bank collapse or something along those lines. It is only a matter of time. As for when this will hit, I have no idea, but either between now and October, or in September, October. All guesswork, but this is my thesis for now. My theses do not always come out exactly as I guess, but I am at worst in the ballpark, and my theses usually at least rhyme with what happens. GLTA.
i shorted this the kast teo days. But no thanks im not hoing on long term theoreticals, not running a stop loss and the market runs 4k points against me which us what happened to those who shorted this in 2023-24.
Willie Booker Your call, but the set up is completely different in countless ways.
Willie Booker I use reverse ETFs and small position sizes with a number of positions including cash, treasuries, longs and shorts in different markets. One temporary sour position makes little difference to me.
I sold at 37700 ffs
rebound probably over
Bought at CME open. 37435, think we’ll see 38K again before down.
Stopped out at cost. Looks weak.
It jumped up today, the next day, but it then dropped, and never reached your target.
probably hit it this week still.
How can Ueda have not sold Japan's ETFs yet? Just like he missed the boat on rate hikes when inflation was through the roof in Japan, it looks beyond a shade of doubt that he almost missed the boat on selling the ETFs at 42k, and will be lucky now to even sell at 35k. The fact that they even bought ETFs, pumped up a big bubble, and have even incentivized the Japanese to buy bubble stocks with their NISA program is already beyond belief. Never mind that rates are still at very extreme urgent emergency levels despite inflation running high. I guess when you sleep through your classes at MIT you can easily miss the boat and remain in the dark about what to do. I am dumbfounded. Things are going to get really interesting when deflation takes hold and the Japanese economy collapses. My oh my.
Actually, not almost. He DID miss the boat on selling at 42k. By a mile.
Dollar/yen and falling demand are drop gonna tank profits. It’s only a matter of time now.
excuse me, you think it's going down?
Stefan Burczymucha I KNOW it's going down. BIG. When is the big question.
To be honest, during Biden presidency, he played the card very well on strengthen the status of United States, everytime FED meeting Powell speech show very firm, but now seen has too many difficulty on his face to speak, ally gone, competitors growth, Putin shouting, hedging, over budget for infrastructure build, 500billions build AI?
do you think 40k is available?
More excuses despite inflation in Japan tracking at 3.6%. There is no reason to not raise rates now from extreme urgent emergency levels. Nor has there been any valid reason to not have rates in Japan a lot higher for a long time now. But Japan has a commitment to all of the zombie companies in Japan. There will be no end to capital misallocation in Japan for the foreseeable future. And inflation will continue to hurt consumers in Japan.
Little guys piled in and now they are trapped bagholders as the big money bails. This is going to continue for a while. A lot of little traders who only pay attention to indicators, which will continue to steer them wrong, are going to lose their shirts and have to get real jobs.
Huge crash 37250 today
you had a right
Short squeeze before the next leg down?
Bullish momentum
Giving big money their chance to bail, I think. Exports are falling. This thing has been propped up mostly by exports and a weak yen. I think both are reversing.
Build your dream
No wonder Warren Buffett is your godfather
I know little about btc but have heard the nasdaq tends to follow it. And this index tends to follow them both. Hence if btc continues in neutral this will follow. I see no reason to buy stocks at bubble prices, loads of refinancing coming due in the US, an end to the spending like a drunken sailor buried at sea already, and massive debt in the US and Japan. The liquidity cylce is near its down phase and trading is firmly showing end cycle behavior. If you fail to see the implications then you are going to get a major wake up call soon. GLTA.
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