ICE US Coffee C Futures - Sep 25 (KCc4)

ICE
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349.85
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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

For those waiting for the price to drop in the coming days, I don’t want to discourage you, but I really think it’s unlikely. As I say, this is just the beginning. As a producer, I have half of my harvest stored—well, actually, I already sold it to a Chinese coffee buyer (at an even better price than what’s currently being quoted here on the exchange). And you know what? I’m not the only producer who has done this. More and more entrepreneurs from all over the world—whether they own coffee shops or want to build a brand—are coming to towns like mine in Colombia (and I imagine the same is happening in Brazil), willing to pay more for coffee with traceability and origin. So, if you ask me, those who are waiting for a price drop and whining about market manipulation are not truly grasping how this market is expanding.
A little mathematical exercise. If farmers have already sold 90% of the FY24 crop then they have a maximum of 4million bags of Arabica left. That's enough for less than 2 months of exports. And there are still 5 months left until beans from the new crop of 25 will be available. The hunt for beans will begin in Brazil?
You know when exchange warehouses are a cheaper source of coffee than farmers, we have a problem.
Really strong volatility today
Selling started?
PANIC
0,5% in 1 min😀
byeee
next stop 405, some fight there and goes to 5. This moviment is the BLACK SWAN, will change the hole coffee market. Some big guys will cry like a baby
I guess they are already crying
Arabica coffee futures extended their rally, surpassing $3.70 per pound, driven by dwindling supplies from top producer Brazil and ongoing concerns over the upcoming harvest. Further support came from the recent strength of the Brazilian real, which discouraged Brazilian coffee producers from selling their exports.
Good news for MM :) So Americans have to pay whatever price Brazil wants :)
When there is very limited supply yes
Somebody of big retails are short and liquidity provider want push him out.
There is something strange going on. All analysts are quiet today. Seriously...
Imagine evening star on weekly 😀
today 325-330!
94,70 ! :D
81,6
Keep on dreaming...
If no factors help, rain forecast, European demand decrease, upcoming supply chain disruption, weekly RSI of 80. That's when you know there is manipulation going on. The famous irritational big up
The rise in coffee prices is parabolic - of course, it's manipulation, yet there are still people willing to pay that much and sellers wanting a higher price.
Actually I am curious tò see the preliminary data from largest industries. There Is anybody thinking that with and eventual increase in Sales they have sold same volumes. Look at the experience of origins incredibile incom and lower exports.
Please elaborate more
I.e in general revenue increase 10% yearly with the price increments experienced from industry could they have sold more ? Personale I have some doubts. Are all the increase in consumption worldwide related tò specialty Sector? Another personale doubt
Soon a small correction to 265
At least I want to get in at 180 :) whaha
You are in luck, 120 by end of day!
Hmm wait a long time hihi
I think till april - may they wont sell coffee and the price will probably reach 400 levels, I imagine Iam farmer there is a grater shorttage I still have some crop main harvest is starting may so the best time for selling crops is march april, what are your opinions
Yeah soon some sort of waterfall to 265
Thats true but there would need to be coffee
Trying to think as realist 😀
good advice for bears do not try catch the top if you are stuck better go buy with same volume as your sell and wait setup stoploss when your buy is in proft away from actual price and just wait ... if can go up even till 400 so that imposible to survive without hedge or without closing sell position
Great advice, for someone who is stuck, 400 is posible in the february
376 next main target sl 364
Good job hope it triggers at 364
I went from 3 cups to 2 cups per day, why didn’t market fall 33%?
Good for your health
Why is it so difficult to sink 20-40 points?
just follow the trend! don't try to stop a train with your hand... why should you do so?
I regret selling at 362. What a scam this
Why the scam? If people and businesses are willing to pay that price, who are we to stop them?
Not true I hear a lot of people say I don't want to pay that much for coffee.
I don't want to pay that much, so I don't buy. Other people say that, but they still buy, so the market grows. I think it's not bad that it grows if there are still customers
nobody will stop drinking coffe , still good price in retail shops so price can go easy 100% up
speculation that's it
It's a bit sad that people will have to give up drinking coffee due to pure speculation, but in the long run it will be beneficial for all of us
What we live now is not pure speculation! look at shpmt data and stocks and you see that coffee is very well consumed and demanded. Industry didn't fix, finds itself supershort, while farmers fixed very well and in advance. Specs is just a bit more than usual in OI %, but this market is just as manipulated as it was when we stayed at around 100c/lb for two years. We were below cost of production, but there was still too much coffee and the market had to wait more than two years to get out of that mud.
wow
i think they just sold on top
I see bulls, I don't see bears. It's clear that this is not yet the pain threshold for Americans, they want to pay more, or at least their hedge funds do
'they want to pay more' yeah right... you know about capitalism for sure
I saw Fox News, they said it's worth paying more, so they pay :) Let them push to 400 and 500 if they want. Poor countries will earn more :)
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