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US Coffee C Futures - May 25 (KCK5)

Real-time derived
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
KCDerivedUSD
KCc1ICEUSD
KCc2ICEUSD
KCc3ICEUSD
KCc4ICEUSD
KCc5ICEUSD
KCc6ICEUSD
KCc7ICEUSD
Currency in USD
386.45
-7.30(-1.85%)
Closed

US Coffee C Futures Discussions

Ưhat’s going on today? Long again?
Many coffee areas in MG still have no rain.
18k bags less in ICE stocks...
+7.8k pending bags
 half will be probably rejected because of quality
Ok, but Pending bags shows that coffee has entered the ICE, in addition, 50% is usually flagged by Rebagging and 25% is, on average, approved.
The big hands in coffee market just don't want price go up. We need to understand this very special coffee world.
Now printing money with short play.
Kudos!!! :)
Time for the long awaited dirty drop ? Commodities are cranking badly today…
196.50 kinda holds ... :)
Until it doesn’t. Amigo Viriato, I thought you were better than this!
 Nobody is perfect. :)  It's impossible to be correct all the time and the levels meant to be broken sooner or later, sure.
 I am antitalent, unfortunately. So, from time to time I am jealous. :)
Everything is now set for the year high take out....chart remains extremely bullish
Are you sure???
Because everyone is bullish I'm bearish on coffee
Pre-flowering stress (another state of the plant) is great provided it flowers in the window of opportunity. I am afraid we have missed that train. Curdling will be diminished greatly. Say bye bye...
BRL 5.4475 +1.04%
Back, now +0,54%
196.50 !  :)
Swiss watches are less precise! :)
plenty of rain on the way - should have good flowering by last week of October - will it hold is the question
 Are you serious? "Coffee is a very resilient plant and if it hasn’t flowered yet, this could be positive. Honestly, if this drought were post flowering, I’d be more worried. Just my thoughts though." FYI Coffee is not a resilient plant. One year of neglect, sickness, drought, ad nausaeam...is 4, yes FOUR years of full recovery.
the coffee plant will not abort the flowers, they abort the leaves, they will die after they produces some seeds .seeds are the survival mode of the species
I agree, but in extremely smaller amounts of fruit.
Technically, in the long run, the bulls remain in charge. The support above 180.80 and the break of 189.50 were excellent in the short term for bulls. Towards the psychological resistance of 200.00 (199.80 and 201.60). Supports 196.50, 194.30 and 190.10
pro badge
300 on cards ? I think so! May God grace all with health wealth and success. All in all let's all brew money in one way or the other
Inshallah
allah does not like greedy people attached to money lol
farmers need to get a fair price
First serious rains at 4th of October. If forecasts this time are right. Till then cactus coffee mode.
  Were you there?
Of course. But not excessively like now. The flowers grow weak and then are aborted.
and stead of fruit it became leaves, is already happening this ,
Wow, what's next, the 7 plagues of Egypt?
anyone know how demand is doing?
Demand is healthy. In europe and Usa two segments are lower than 2019: convention/fairs and city tourism. July and August were down only 5% compared to 2019 in food service while retail was still +2-3%. When looking at disappearance we notice we are down 1.5% compared to 2019.
Ask roasteries The best answer is there
Ask roasteries The best answer is there
https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ICEUS-KC1%21/ideas/
Real numbers can be a bit bitter: 1) current arabica world stock: 15 mil; 2) 21 crop shortage (Brazil) - 7mil bags; 22 crop shortage (Brazil) - 12/14 mil bags. Let's say that consumption will stay the same as 2021.  There is no immediate deficit of arabica in the world. But the shift is visible.
Meaning arabica only :).
thanks for being reasonable unlike the moon boyz... that can't add and subtract... i personally believe that stock is higher since carryover was 30+.. but let's say it eroded..
 Sure, It's just my speculation. The real fun is gonna start around next harvest if some weather surprises will materialize.  :)
Why I bet on South? Bcz everybody is long!!
do not fight the trend.
hayyp?
Gross exercise, based on open sources approximations: 1) current arabica world stocks <= 20 mil bags :) ; 2) 21 crop short of 5 mil bags (drought); 3) 22 crop short of 10 mil bags (drought+frost); 4) 23 crop short of 5mil bags (frost => lost production, off cycle). Those are very conservative estimates.  21+22+23 = 30+40+30 = 100 mil bags, arabica, Brazil.
All-in
Long or Short :) ?
Short
It rained hail in the south of Minas in several cities, including mine in Eloi Mendes. It's one thing after another happening. Drought, frost, hail. Where will it end?
*no rain so far.
Good morning. This happened at night. I haven't seen it in person yet, but I hope it didn't do too much damage. After I get back from there I will answer you. Good morning Rodrigo.
Fortunately, there was little damage. Thank God!
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