US Coffee C Futures - May 25 (KCK5)

Real-time derived
Currency in USD
389.25
-0.65(-0.17%)
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US Coffee C Futures Discussions

I am defo looking fir a short term long here, but its a counter trade, not a long term trade.
ATH's are in. Weaker dollar is not helping coffee anymore.
Thats true to some extent but its not a binary process
RC on the chart looks ready to explode, KC looks like it wants to fold back.
you mean to fly
FND 25/2
The danger for bears calling this the top is a huge bull flag forming, it could take weeks to play out, or this is the top. We simply dont know. As the price rises we hit an inlection point where all options can be accomodated, but for now fundamentally I dont see enough confidence that the price increase un the futures market offsets the very real fear of a dearth of product to the buyers.
The snag is I dont see enough volume on the chart and RC is still dancing around at the top. This suggests more impetus up.
I was looking to open a new long at 385. For now I am out. This could be the top but I am not sure.
do you think it can go above 400+ ?
Specs have done enough damages One side. They prepare tò do the same other way
Frank, can we say funds helped farmers to benefit from good prices? Or wasn`t this the case? ;)
come on bullish 425
i think going to 393
Everyone Gyenes and his !!! Is my new favorite around here. If I had 1 real for every exclamation mark he’s posted, I’d be richer than Viriato!!!!
Did I live to see the bull trap on coffee? :O
today 360! week 310!
r u in rush?
Is it making W pattern?
Patterns mean zero, please
Question for Viriato, Bruno and/or other Brazilian farmers: I spoke yesterday with someone from ofi (you know who they are I'm sure). He told me that accordingly with their field researcher they don't see a real recover, so a real bumper crop, until 2027. This surprised me quite a lot, but they argue that the drought hit really hard and prevented a good development of new planted areas, thus causing a delay. Can you agree with such a comment? Isn't it too extreme?
I think Kenan is the brightest person on the forum tbh
Kenan, have you bought the 440? Otherwise I can not get your point why you are so upset. Look if to speak about manipulation, it`s exactly like Viriato wrote to you. You may always see some conspiration if you deal with many news, because human brain is searching automatically for adequate explanations for things which look complicated on short :):):) first view:). For example if to consider recent news from Reuters abt. coffee market one could assume that 40mb is less compared with recent years. But if you step a bit back and think out of the box, it could also mean that Brazil is considered as an agronomic Powerplant and even if next crop (which is already knocking doors;) is only 40mb, it`s simply enough. Read carefully Kenan and do not spam to best forum contributors here;) Cheers.
Kenan I can not get your point why you are so upset. Look if to speak about manipulation, it`s exactly like Viriato wrote to you. You may always see some conspiration if you deal with many news, because human brain is searching automatically for adequate explanations for things which look complicated on first view:). For example if to consider recent news from Reuters abt. coffee market one could assume that 40mb is less compared with recent years. But if u step a bit back and think out of the box, it could also mean that Brazil is considered as an agronomic Powerplant by those survey partipiciants and even if next crop (which is already knocking doors;) is only 40mb, it`s simply enough. Read carefully and do not spam to best forum contributors here.
A periodi of assessment. range expected Wide Daily up or down Where market finish the month Will give the clue of the direction
417
Everyone is worried there will be less coffee than expected at Coffee Fort Knox.. but what if it turns out to be more..much more.
End to coffee price war in China :'( Now we will see if the Chinese really love coffee so much.
Exactly, chinese drink tea and drive chinese cars. Only western world thinks they are the ones setting standards they have. China has their own habits.
It doesn't matter what I think, it matters what is in the American reports
I found all these numbers on General Administration of Customs China's offical website. Where did you get your numbers from Maria?
It's starting to get comical. Kenan has stopped drinking coffee, Comrade Ro is boycotting his grocery store and demanding maximum official prices per kilogram of Arabica, Maria is buying coffee at Biedronka and shipping it from Poland to Brazil. All this to drive down the price. ;););)
lol, Ro AI has officially caused the market to fall a few cents into the close. The boycott by Albert Heijns is workijng!!!!
I think Holland is a small market. Am I wrong? China is a big market and they have just raised prices (today's news), I am very curious what will happen with demand
ShortDude is from Aldi. Enyoing cheap products and talking and thinking cheap because of it.
will it be going to close the gap at 409
Two weeks without coffee. I feel great.
Bruno, Happy Birthday to YOU and simply All the Very Best !!! :)
Bruno, Happy Birthday to YOU and simply All the Very Best !!! :)
thank you Viriato
With coffee production declining in other regions, African coffee-producing nations like Uganda, Ethiopia, and Kenya are stepping up. Uganda, for instance, saw a record-breaking $1.14 billion in coffee exports in 2023/24, proving its potential as a major player in global coffee supply. At Fluna, we actively work to bridge the gap between African coffee exporters and international buyers, ensuring a stable, high-quality supply for global markets. We are ensuring that coffee flows efficiently from farm to cup—without breaking the bank for buyers and consumers. Invest in Africa if Brazil does not want to deliver!
Uganda Arabica production: roughly 1mb, stagnant. Kenya Arabica production: roughly 800kb, stagnant. Ethiopia Arabica production: roughly 8.3mb, stagnant, export roughly 4.8mb, stagnant. If to consider combined export, annual, roughly: 6mb of A. Which figure is ... about 2 months export of A ex-Brazil. As a famous manipulator and FND magician ShortDude would say: good luck with the replacement project and sweet dreams !!! :):):) On a positive side: USDA reports are 100% public, USDA is considered to be most followed evaluator. :)
A curiosity: I know people from Espírito Santo do Pinhal (Leal Samp's city, which I can't lie about), who export labor to assemble machines manufactured here to Africa. Not only machines, but in coffee-growing regions we have a pesticide store in every neighborhood, agronomists specialized in coffee growing and all the knowledge (it's not just planting as some people think), techniques. Setting up a farm takes time and, while everything is beautiful in good times, at the first crisis many give up before harvesting the fruits. For example, Indonesia has excellent coffee, but if you look at their cultivation techniques (small producers), they are many years behind small Brazilian coffee growers.
Brazil without any doubts is real industrial and most advanced coffee producer, besides it is also a most advanced coffee lab in the world :). Anybody who doesn't believe it :), may check the quantity of researches and studies, performed by Brazlian scientists on coffee related subjects. I've been to Indonesia and other origins that produce a very good quality coffee, but yield wise it is impossible to compare to Brazilian production. That's the fact. :)
Bulls, buy coffee! Push to new ATH because it's too cheap! We need to have expensive coffee so that it is no longer needed! :D
Where?
Why there Is the necessity tò solicit Bulls to buy? Exhaustion of upside interest?
in every where that i have been, in Dennnark for instance, uau….
I guess either growing coffee is much more complicated than growing orange, or orange farmers are not as smart as coffee farmers.
I think that coffee needs different conditions than oranges.
Orange juice really shows how far manipulation can go and how far coffee is still in this period. 1 cannot sink due to weather while the other still have companies and farmers trying to put fear about weather.
we are in fear already, i finished sell my harvest back in september, three years low production and 2025 will not be full production yet, if was only me the prices would be bellow 1.5, but it is general, actually im in good position comparing with neigbhors.
today 370!
or 470. Tulip mania XD
Really funny
pro badge
Too risk now
damn forced to buy again :D
dont you dare turn now cooffeee :D
Don't worry, coffee never turns back, it has one direction
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