ICE US Cocoa Futures - Jul 25 (CCc3)

ICE
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US Cocoa Futures Discussions

To make money: be first, be smarter or cheat (from Margin Call movie). I suppose the first big shorter in cocoa will make money, the rest will sell in panic - like in April last year. We sit for second week on the same levels - and I bet someone is repositioning.
have you taken into account that cocoa producers may have stockpiled production in order to sell later for a higher price? Check out Cocoa Farmers Association Of Africa (CFAOA) and you will find out XDDD. They are just hiding theirs bags lol
who is short ?
lol everyone... waiting for matrix glitch to 6k :) preferably till the next week
I closed my longs at 11700, thanks Jordan for the info of the up movement! And of course shorted a lot at 11700....
Zack Bubich you have good Intel, the rate of the build up at ICE storage is significant, what do you think? It is a temporary think or we finally start to see the better production this season in the storage? 2024 we had more than 2.5 million bags draw
Bla bla bla but cocoa price still going up
price and economics are different things - in same time price of virtual rock goes up, that rock still got no new value ;) if price and economics are having deep gap, that is where you can earn (I talk only about economics, i dont care if other economists are wrong, i take money from them later on)
Net inflow of cocoa to US ports grows to 29,7 thousand bags a day.
The question is how many days this can continue with the same rate
Inventory +30000 bags
Although we don't see the effect of the build in the price but the pace is twice January 2024.hope it weighs on price
After Nigeria published cocoa production going up 87% in December I am pushed to lift up my global cocoa production expectation. Now I expect that there will be only 20k deficit this season and 260k oversupply year after. No more problems in cocoa market exist. Production issues are in the past. Only matter of time for price to go to 1k-3k level.
Monthly cocoa production in Nigeria 87% up in December or 46'676. Nigeria might be on the way to deliver biggest cocoa production in history.
Upper band 11981. Magnet
And then? Ban ride Guaranteed?
 not guaranteed depends if first touch is rejected.  Bands are tight so ride is likely
Jordan Johnson I'm still following what you write and I'm sticking to it. I have 4 longs 11220 and I'm still waiting.
Really what the hell, no news on supply has come out today, why this rallies like this
Because everyone is wearing a short
Inventories even increased, they are just trying to liquidate all bears
Ro Al this is the first guess, but looking at COT report the manage money net long position is decreasing overall, some weeks increased by few hundreds but much less that last April, for example
Added short
jordan pls shut up
there will be a better day to be short.
I try to keep you all safe. Upper band is a magnet. This isn't rigged.
rigged
They keep buying and buying how much money they have.
short coming soon
Timber!!!
here it goes. as planned. hope you all got in...gave you lots of opportunity.
as we talk how did i know....yesterday was the key...bears were in full control to take it below the 20 day....they failed 3x. Momentum switched heavily to the bulls. Now we have a magnet at upper band.
There are 90% bears on this forum, and 10% of the abnormal ones who are long. The buyers of this shit are people in cahoots with a lot of money.
If you're buying here then you're buying cancer for you.
It’s funny how many times I’ve been told that.  On the last run I was told to leave the room at 7800
New highs for the day are coming and there they are!!
30minute MACD is going red... not a good signal for long positions. 4hr and 1d MACD still red.
We have the break up we were looking for.  It’s fed day so could be non slow for a bit
Why honestly? Crop dates are later on, feb-march.
The buy is immediatly, HTF work
Yea its giving you every chance to get in here
Yea its giving you every chance to get in here
Added short
Target 9,500
Zauber if it breaks 9800 I don't see any reason to return
im short since 11400
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