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US Cocoa Futures - Mar 25 (CCH5)

Real-time derived
Symbol
Exchange
Currency
CCDerivedUSD
CCc1ICEUSD
CCc2ICEUSD
CCc3ICEUSD
CCc4ICEUSD
CCc5ICEUSD
Currency in USD
11,173.00
+671.00(+6.39%)
Closed

US Cocoa Futures Discussions

No additional tariff maybe we get to 7500 Yum!
No immediate tariffs says we go back to previous wedge.
Since the start of the 2024/25 season to 29 December 2024, cocoa arrivals at lvorian ports were reported to be up by 27.4% at 1.054 million tonnes. In Ghana, the current season started on 11 September 2024 and by 12 December 2024, graded and sealed cocoa beans were reported to be up by 57.7% at 366,075 tonnes.???
GHANA DELAYED DELIVERY OF 370,000 T OF COCOA IN THE 2023/24 SEASON DUE TO POOR OUTPUT, AGRICULTURE MINISTER-DESIGNATE SAYS
Ivory coast arrivals up 24.9%! This is massive!
Where are all these Grindings going?   Inventories continue to get depleted at record paces. This is good news but I would not expect a gap down.  Back months charts are giving us a hint at what’s coming.  Both Ice and London
Reuters reported complete opposite
sorry I read incorrectly the whole season (since Oct. 1st) is 24% up compared to last season, but one week arrival compared to last year is less. So it depends how funds will look at it
Tuesday should open with huge gap down as Ivory Coast published super production today. See data sets.
Im afraid they will do what they want anyway, and that info wont have any impact
If this info doesn't have an impact then what will?
Well. Friday move had No logic at all, with a bit of bearish info they just completely negated weekly candle. So maybe more bearish info make this go for new aht just because so. Because mm want so. No logic
Tuesday should open with huge gap down as Ivory Coast published super production today. See more that on X (twitter) using hashtags.
London having a big day.  Gonna be a big day for the bulls tomorrow I suspect. Back months are leading the way there as well!
only 0.6% increase, how that is big?
is this closed today or what...
Bank Holiday in USA so many markets closed incl Cocoa
Prices of C'ote dor chocolate in the grocery stores in the netherlands surged this week from €4 to €6.
Here in the Netherlands they changed this week the price of c'ote Dor and other chocolates from 4 to 6 euros a piece. Let the sinking demand party begin
Few weeks ago Trading Economics predicted price somewhere at level of 6800-7200 in 1 year time. I have checked them and recently their prediction is 14000. Funny, but it is what it is. I was convinced we should reach 13k and we did, from there I expected bearish trend. But... as I mentioned Trading Economics skyrocketed their target...And that is why i closed shorts on thursday... I was convinced that I a was wrong. But i wasn't...
Just look at news before Friday's move? " demand destruction is sending price lower" after Friday's move" oh demand destruction was not enough "
14500 is forecast in december 2025 but 14k will come much sooner
 no fake Fridays.  Buy the open tues morning
If ya look at chart on may contract it closed easily over the 20 day.  This is gonna break out higher
Those grind reports were bearish but still price went up
Bears will attack today, if not....then its game over for bears
 bears are hibernating. They are scared. They had their last piece of news they thought was gonna squeeze and rammed up their @$$. Now we will be back to weather and other info they like to make up
You had your answer now. My opinión is that small investors cant do anything against institutional and That these last have decided to put The upper range higher than It was.
Josin Céntimos And Im Happy for That now, until I sold in which case I Will sell positions, but not right now
a big pump expected in last
JJ, do you have any predictions for this? Can we expect a rise or rather a revers at 12K?
Bears lost the momentum. They had it and lost.  Now we are back to even.   Right at 20 day can ya tell I wasn’t making it up?   I lean towards the bulls just because they are winning but today is over. No trade Monday and who knows what else happens over the weekend and into next week. Expect volatility
let see how its closing 8% or 9%
JJ, do you think it will ever go back to 7500?
vaclav parker I have short pos from November/December also and holding it but 9400/9800/10800 three small positions, for sure it will be profit on them after this high demand with 0 export cocoa moment
Well in case it helps, since I started reading this chat I wait for your daily comments... =)
Patryk Patryk ok thanks
hope to further extension
Where is everyone today.?   Feel like I’m alone. Anyone here?
I am around but choking
Jordan, Thank you for sharing, any advise and opinios is welcome, I am pretty new in it and appreciate all shared here. =)
You are not alone, but I have closed my long positions and I am waiting for next week because the risk is high
I took another 2/3 off long off.   Just a runner left
This is basting right on top of the 20 day.
What you just watched is how a trend day works.  Price relaxes and lures in shorts only to go higher
I was not joking when I said this could/will go 1000 on the day.  We just consolidated for a week
got my eyes on the bigger picture. intend to stay long for at least a week.
I took my first 1/3 off and now in free ride
Hopefully saved some people today I know I post too much but just trying to hep you out
Jordan Johnson mate you post the perfect amount, helped me buy to the top thank you
Jordan Johnson no mate not at all thanks to you i bought to the top
Those of you hoping for a miracle to have this reverse. The bears just got rolled and they lost their last.news for awhile that will help them out.  We consolidated and are now breaking out.  This will go a lot higher if the 20 day gets rolled too
what about new bears
 trending day stay away. Otherwise we are at the 20 day 11158. Guess you can try but keep a tight sl on it
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