Asian markets slumped in response to a warning by S&P that it was placing 15 euro zone nations on credit watch for a possible downgrade. The Nikkei declined 1.4% to 8575, but Olympus shares jumped more than 9% amid expectations the stock will recover from its scandal induced losses. In Australia, the ASX 200 shed 1.5%., despite a .25% rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia. The Kospi fell 1%, the Hang Seng dropped 1.2%, and the Shanghai Composite eased .3%.
Germany's DAX Sinks 1.3%
US stocks ended mixed, as the Dow climbed 52 points to 12150, the S&P 500 inched up .1%, and the Nasdaq fell .2%.
Currencies
The Canadian Dollar rose .7% to 1.0098, lifted by solid Ivey PMI data, while the Dollar was firm against other currencies. The Euro ended flat at 1.3398, the Pound slipped .3% to 1.5595, and the Australian Dollar declined .2%. The Swiss Franc dropped .6% to 1.0794, while the Yen inched up .1% to 77.74.
Economic Outlook
The news continues to be dominated by the Euro debt crisis, and the focus is now on the proposed stability fund changes, due to be discussed at the EU summit later this week. It remains to be seen if the officials have the will to tackle the enormity of the debt problem.
Rumors of $600 Billion IMF Loan Boost US Markets
Equities
Asian markets were lifted by a report by the Financial Times that European leaders were trying to strengthen the region’s bailout fund. The Nikkei jumped 1.7% to 8722, the Kospi gained .9%, and the ASX 200 rose .7%. The Hang Seng rallied 1.6% while China’s Shanghai Composite rose .3%, snapping a 3-day losing streak.
Meanwhile, European markets posted moderate losses, surrendering earlier gains. The DAX fell .6%, the FTSE slipped .4%, and the CAC40 eased .1%. S&P has threatened to cut the credit rating on the ESFS bailout fund, and the threat may help force European leaders to agree to a deal at Friday’s summit.
US stocks closed mostly higher. The Dow gained 46 points to 12196, the S&P 500 rose .2%, while the Nasdaq ended flat.
Stocks Rally on IMF Loan Rumor
Rumors circulated that the G20 is considering a $600 billion loan to the IMF to help Europe, but the IMF denied the claim.
Energy stocks fell after a bearish oil report showed an unexpected rise in oil inventories. Halliburton shares slumped more than 6%, and Peabody Energy fell 3.4%.
Currencies
The Dollar traded mixed as the market prepared for the upcoming EU summit. The Pound rallied .7% to 1.5707, and the Australian Dollar gained .4% to 1.0286. The Euro, Canadian Dollar and Yen all closed little changed. The Swiss Franc slipped .2% to 1.0827.
Economic Outlook
Consumer credit increased to $2.457 trillion, slightly more than expected. Weekly mortgage applications also increased, thanks to a recovering economy and low interest rates.
Stocks Tumble on ECB Disappointment
Equities
Asian markets slid on Thursday as anxiety grew ahead of Friday’s European Summit. The Nikkei dropped .7% to 8645, pulling back from a 1-month high. The Kospi slipped .4% after the Bank of Korea held interest rates at 3.25%, and Australia’s ASX 200 declined .3%. China’s Shanghai Composite largely recovered from an earlier drop, closing down .1%, and the Hang Seng shed .7%.
European markets tumbled after ECB President Mario Draghi said the region’s economy faced significant risks, while offering no new bond purchase plan. The central bank cut interest rates to 1% from 1.25%. The CAC40 dropped 2.5%, the DAX lost 2%, and the FTSE fell 1.1%, with financials leading the declines. The European Banking Index closed down 3.1%.
US stocks posted similar losses. The Dow fell 199 points to 11998, the S&P 500 skidded 2.1%, and the Nasdaq lost 2%. Selling accelerated in the last few minutes of the day after Germany rejected a draft proposal for the EU summit, casting doubts on the outcome of Friday’s meeting. The ongoing debate over whether to introduce stiffer budgetary requirements, or strengthen the bailout mechanisms, does not appear close to resolution.
S&P 500 Falls 2.1%
Despite earnings reports which exceeded estimates, Costco fell 2% and Smithfield Foods dropped 3.7%.
Currencies
The currency markets shunned risk on Thursday, pressuring the Australian and Canadian Dollar. The Australian Dollar fell 1.2% to 1.0168, and the Canadian Dollar dropped 1.3% to 1.0218. The Pound and Euro both lost .5% to 1.3348 and 1.5638 respectively, while the Yen closed flat at 77.67.
Economic Outlook
Weekly jobless claims were far better than expected, dropping by 23K to 381K. Wholesale inventories rose by 1.6%, more than forecast, posting their biggest gain in 5 months.
Western Markets Rally on Euro Summit Deal
Equities
Asian markets slumped on Friday as investors grew increasingly nervous over the European Summit. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng led the declines, tumbling 2.7% to 18586. Japan’s Nikkei sank 1.5% to 8536, the ASX 200 lost 1.8%, and the Kospi fell 2%. In China, stocks fell .6%, despite a report which showed a inflation dropped to 4.2%.
European leaders agreed to work towards leaner budgets, but failed to announce any new aid measures. Nonetheless, stocks rallied, led by the banks, which rose 2.6%. The CAC40 climbed 2.5%, the DAX jumped 1.9%, and the FTSE rose .8%.
DAX Rallies 1.9% on Treaty Deal
US markets followed their European counterparts higher. The Dow advanced 187 points to 12184, the Nasdaq rallied 1.9%, and the S&P 500 gained 1.7% to 1255. The VIX tumbled 13.3% to 26.53.
Currencies
The US Dollar traded mostly lower after the European Summit. The Euro rose 30 pips to 1.3370, the Pound rose 20 pips to 1.5662, and the Swiss Franc edged up 30 pips to 1.0821. The Australian Dollar gained .5% to 1.0221, and the Canadian Dollar ticked up .3% to 1.0193.
Economic Outlook
Consumer sentiment rose more than expected, climbing to 67.7, from last month’s 64.1 reading. The trade deficit fell to $43.5 billion, in line with forecasts.
Western Markets Tumble as Reality Sets In
Equities
Friday’s Western relief rally lifted Asian markets on Monday, following an agreement for stricter budgets amongst euro zone countries. The Nikkei advanced 1.4% to 8654, the Kospi climbed 1.3%, and the ASX 200 rose 1.2%. China’s Shanghai Composite bucked the uptrend, sliding 1%, and the Hang Seng closed down fractionally.
Friday’s gains were short-lived for European stocks, as a steep selloff hit the continent. Germany’s DAX tumbled 3.4% to 5785, the CAC40 dropped 2.6%, and the FTSE fell 1.8%. Despite Friday’s summit treaty, little progress has been made in improving the European debt crisis.
Germany's DAX Slumps 3.4%
US markets dropped as well, but ended well off their lows. The Dow dropped 163 points to 12021, the Nasdaq declined 1.3%, and the S&P 500 dropped 1.5%. Banking shares were hit hardest, as Citigroup plunged 5.4% and Bank of America dropped 4.7%.
Currencies
The Dollar surged as investors flocked to safety. The Euro and Swiss Franc both tumbled 1.5% to 1.3186 and 1.0672 respectively. The Australian Dollar shed 1.4% to 1.0078, and the Canadian Dollar lost 1% to 1.0258. The Yen fared better than its pears, easing .3% to 77.90.
Economic Outlook
The Fed will issue its rate statement on Tuesday, and is not expected to lift rates from .25%. Also due are retail sales, business inventories, and the TIPP economic optimism report.