Good morning welcome to a new day in FX market. As expected in our previous report, we have a really active day yesterday, and despite the absence of news in the US, greenback was again, the winner of the day: most action took place in the European session, stating with GBP falling after the members of the BOE committee voted 9-0 to cut rates last time around. Meanwhile Euro fell after the release of the IFO survey from Germany, which showed that business sentiment fell to 103.0 from 104.2, taking it to its lowest level since January 2006. But was at the end of London session, when most European majors break trough key levels, as concerns regarding U.S. financial market spread to European Central Banks, triggering rallies that send GBP under the psychological 2.0000 barrier, while Euro hit a 2 months low around 1.4325, recovering quickly to the zone around 1.4380. Japanese Yen meanwhile, stayed in these last days range.
Today we have the following news, East Time:
00:00 JPY Bank of Japan Target Rate: expected with no changes at 0.5%.
01:00 JPY BOJ Monthly Report
04:30 GBP Gross Domestic Product QoQ, expected with no changes at 0.7%
04:30 GBP Current Account (Pound Sterling) for the third quarter, (Expected -11.3B Previous -9.1B)
08:30 US GDP-Final Q3 (Expected 4.9% Previous 4.9%) and Chain Deflator-Final Q3 (Expected 0.9% Previous 0.9%)
08:30 US Initial Claims 12/15 (Expected 335K Previous 333K)
10:00 US Leading Indicators Nov (Expected -0.1% Previous -0.5%)
12:00 US Philadelphia Fed Dec (Expected 8.0 Previous 8.2)
EUR/USD is right now at 1.4383, bearish in bigger charts, yet still with no clear confirmations of a more interesting rally in that direction, as the pair managed to close the day, again, above the 38.2% Fibonacci rally 1.3360/1.4966, around 1.435o and first support for today, followed by yesterday’s minimum at 1.4325, followed by 1.4300 and finally 1.4278 Resistances from here will be at 1.4407, followed by the zone around 1.4430, 1.4453 and finally 1.4480.
USD/JPY is quoting at 113.25, still moving sideways, with no clear signs yet still bullish in bigger charts: very close to the first resistance zone, around 113.30, again we will need a confirmation above 113.60, to see some more interesting movements, to the zone around 113.80 first and finally to the zone around 114.02. Supports from here, will be at 13.10, followed by 112.90, 112.73, the other extreme of the range, tat if broken could send the pair to the zone around 112.20.
GBP/USD is right now at 1.9978, confirming our bearish view: however, we could expect a correction for the next hours after these last days rally that put the pair in over sold state in 4 hours charts: in that case, resistances will be at 2.0005, followed by the zone around 2.0035, 2.0085 and finally the zone around 2.0126. Supports, in case of a continuation, will be at 1.9950, followed by yesterday’s minimum at 1.9928, 1.9885, and finally the zone around 1.9830.
Have a great trading day!