Yesterday as expected we tested the low and made a new low of 92.86, leaving a bear triangle formation on the hourly chart. This would mean we should have a measured move to the downside of firstly the width of the triangle which is 54 ticks and then the second move which is the length of the pole 189 ticks. On route we will have support from yesterday's low at 92.86 which coincides with 92.67, the low from the 26th June and the daily downward trend line at 92.55. This would complete the first move, now if we manage to hold here we could see some buyers keeping tight stops. The hourly stochastics still have some way to go to the upside and the 240 are now in oversold territory, the dailiess have crossed back over and are heading lower, therefore we look for a small correction to the downside for a buying opportunity.
To the upside we have our first resistance at the 5 and 8 day MA 94.06/14 which concurs with the short term 26.3% fib at 94.25 , a break above here should take us higher to the short term 38.2% fib and the 13 day MA at 95.11/21 and where we could see some profit taking.