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WTI Crude Oil Futures Fall to a 7-Month Low: What's Next?

Published 08/22/2024, 04:52 AM
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  • WTI futures drop to their lowest level since January 17
  • Momentum indicators are heavily tilted to the bearish side

WTI oil futures have been in a steady retreat following their rejection at the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) in mid-August. On Wednesday, the price fell to a fresh seven-month low before finding its feet a tad above the 70.00 psychological mark.

Should the bears attempt to push the price lower, they need to initially claim 72.03, which is the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the 67.97–86.92 upleg. A violation of that zone could pave the way for the 2024 low of 69.55. Further declines could then cease at the December 2023 bottom of 67.97.WTI-Daily Chart

On the flipside, bullish actions could propel the price towards the 61.8% fibo of 75.21. Surpassing that zone, the price may advance towards the 50.0% Fibo of 77.44, which coincides with the 200-day SMA. Even higher, the 38.2% Fibo of 79.68 could prevent further upside attempts.

Overall, WTI oil futures have been on a slippery slope in the past few sessions, dropping to a fresh seven-month low. However, their failure to extend the recent decline might lead to the formation of a double bottom, which is indicative of a reversal pattern.

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