Friday WTI made a low of 93.90 before trading higher making a high of 94.92 - quite a tight range for oil and we seem to be stuck in a trading range. However this morning we have traded sideways. We have our first support at 94.41, the short term 23.6% fib to the downside. We have support from the short term 23.6% fib at 94.41. This coincides with the 5 day MA at 94.35, below here we have Friday's low as support at 93.90/80. If we test the low our next stop will be the daily downward trend line at 93.07 which is also the low from the 5th of November and where we should see buyers with stops placed below 92.67, the low from the 26th of June. The short term stochastics are getting into overbought territory and the daily’s look as though they are about to dip back down, therefore we look for a small correction to the downside for a buying opportunity.
To the upside, we have our first resistance at Friday's high 94.92, above here we have the short term 38.2% fib high at 95.24. This is where the market seems to be stalling so we really need a clear break to keep us on target to 98.57. Our next level will be the 13 day MA at 95.85, a break here should take us higher to the short term 61.8% fib at 96.58 where we could see some profit taking before trading higher to our target of 98.57. If we do overshoot this level we could see sellers at the 200 day MA 98.69.