Transportation stocks are an excellent measure of industrial and manufacturing strength and supply and demand.
The Transportation ETF (IYT) is a good indicator of economic health as the movement of goods and services across the country is the economy's lifeblood.
This relates to Charles Dow and his emphasis on tracking transportation to gauge the economy's health.
We can use IYT to see if goods are moving or not. And in a strong economy, we don't want to see supply outweighing demand.
IYT iShares US Transportation ETF
Aug 26, 2022, Percentage of Fund Value
Transportation Type | Fund |
Railroads | 31.82 |
Air Freight & Logistics | 31.71 |
Trucking | 21.02 |
Airlines | 13.73 |
Marine | 1.44 |
Cash and/or Derivatives | 0.29 |
Generally, transportation companies are busier when economic activity picks up, leading to strong demand for the movement of goods across many economic sectors.
When economic activity increases, transportation businesses are often busier, which fuels significant demand for more commodities across various economic sectors.
When the supply of goods outweighs the demand, that's a sign that the economy is slowing down. But when demand outweighs supply, that signifies a strong economy.
IYT is a great way to measure that relationship and better understand where the US economy is heading.
ETF Summary
S&P 500 (SPY) 399 major support 410 pivotal 417 resistance
Russell 2000 (IWM) 190 pivotal, 182 major support, 195 resistance
Dow (DIA) 320 major support
Nasdaq (QQQ) 312.50 pivotal, 303 major support and 319 resistance-clutch hold of the 50-DMA
KRE (Regional Banks) 62.00 the 50-DMA
SMH (Semiconductors) Unconfirmed bear phase if cannot retake 223.50-215 next support
IYT (Transportation) 227 the 50 DMA. 234 area pivotal and 240 resistance
IBB (Biotechnology) Confirmed bear phase. 124 resistance 117 next support
XRT (Retail) 64.25 area the major 50-DMA support and 67 resistance