A Gordian Knot comes from Greece during Alexander the Great’s march.
It has become a metaphor for a problem solvable only by bold action.
Every investor is waiting for the next stat and the next stat.
Each one is perceived as the key to what the Fed will do next.
And that the market action/reaction will be bold.
Will the market head to new highs as we are seeing in certain areas?
Or will the weaker sectors/indexes drag down the mighty?
We already know what a Fed-long pause looks like.
Until something unties the knot, the market continues to cautiously hold up on low volume, wonky breadth with a huge divergence between small caps and growth stocks.
And then there are the commodities.
And right now, I am not sure anyone knows for sure how the knot unties and who or what rules as a result.
What I do know is this-the ratio between commodities and equities remains unsustainably low, which means opportunities are emerging.
ETF Summary
- S&P 500 (SPY) New all-time high
- Russell 2000 (IWM) 210.80 resistance 200 support with a historical wide ratio between this and NASDAQ
- Dow (DIA) 40k resistance
- Nasdaq (QQQ) New all-time high
- Regional banks (KRE) Watching the range 45-50
- Semiconductors (SMH) 450 major support and another new all-time high
- Transportation (IYT) 63.80 area now important support with 66-67 the area to clear for health
- Biotechnology (IBB) 135 support 140 resistance-big eyes here this week
- Retail (XRT) 75-80 trading range to break
- iShares iBoxx Hi Yd Cor Bond ETF (HYG) Ended the week on critical support 76.85 area-so watch carefully this coming week