The housing market will be dominating the US calendar next week; new data will be coming in on housing starts, building permits, existing homes sales and the NAHB housing market index.
Minutes from the January FOMC meeting are due for release on Monday; it will be interesting to see whether the discussion about ending the QE program during 2013 continued.
In the euro area, it will be a week with a number of interesting releases: Germany releases ZEW data on Tuesday and IFO numbers on Friday. We expect ZEW to increase from 31.5 to 39, and the IFO expectations index to increase from 100.5 to 101.8. The Italian general election on 24-25 February is likely to be an important market mover.
In Japan, focus next week will be on the possible nomination of a new governor for the Bank of Japan in addition to two new deputy-governors.
In Sweden, inflation is expected to be below the brand-new Riksbank forecast.
Global Update
Euro area GDP growth in Q4 12 was lower than expected and the worst since Q1 09. The flash estimate showed that the overall euro area economy contracted 0.6% q/q in Q4.
The Riksbank kept rates unchanged and signalled no need for further rate cuts. The Riksbank was also very complacent about the latest SEK appreciation contrary to the view put forward by Norges Bank in the annual address.
Focus on the potential currency war ahead of the G20 meeting.
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