The USD/CHF pair has been swinging from bullish to bearish from a weekly perspective on this pair.
It has established strong resistances at 1.00571 to 1.00148, forming a double top as it tried to break these levels. The double top rejection resulted in the USD/CHF pushing back down and bouncing off 0.94907. This price level corresponds to the 200 MA and the 0.5 fib level.
From the daily time frame perspective, the USD/CHF pair recently met a resistance at around 0.974. At this point, the 50 Moving Average signaled traders the possibility of further downwards movement of the pair.
A key level to watch out for is 0.95959 or around 100 MA. This level needs to hold for the price to move upwards and possibly test the resistance again. If this level doesn’t hold, the price could reach the fib’s golden pocket of 0.618, around 0.93568, and the weekly 50 MA. If the price goes further down, it could reach and test the 200 MA. Further afield, if the price smashes through all these supports, there could be a possible test of support around 0.883.
The overall market sentiment for USD/CHF is still bearish, as it has been since the start of April. Market participants might accept further downside on the pair, possibly even down to 0.883 support. Traders who choose to take a position and trade USD/CHF should watch out for the abovementioned levels and position themselves wisely. Shorting the top or near the top of relief pumps might be a safer trade than taking longs on supports in hopes of a relief pump.