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US Indices Short-Term Outlook: February 13 - 19, 2012

Published 02/13/2012, 12:23 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM
NDX
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BETI
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Nasdaq 100:Nasdaq 100:
Nasdaq 100:

  2547.27

Short-Term Trend: uptrend

Outlook:

Because the market was overbought, a week ago I decided to exit our long position from 2360 level. The market continued to move higher last week however and the uptrend on the daily chart remains strong. So, one can still bet on the upside. The next level of importance is seen at 2682. But I am not going to chase this upmove anymove because the risk of a pullback has increased substantially. A decline below 2500 will be the 1st small sign that a ST top is already in place....

You can also see my video analysis on the daily and weekly chart of the main U.S. stock indices and what I expect in the next few weeks and in the next few months.

Strategy:  The hypothetical long from 2360 was closed at 2519 with 159 pts profit. Stand aside now.

S&P500:

S&P500:
S&P500: 

1342.59

Short-Term Trend: uptrend

Outlook:

The upmove from the mid-December low remains intact and ideally we should see a move twd 1378 before this uptrend is over. Thus, the long side is favored here. But I personally do not like a long position here. Why? - because the upmove is overextended and the risk of a pullback is high. And if a pullback starts, it may be quite violent. But sill, as long as the prices stay abv 1315, the bulls are in charge.

Strategy:  Stand aside.

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