Talking Points:
- US Dollar Technical Strategy: Holding Long via
- Support: 10513, 10484, 10456
- Resistance:10560, 10606, 10663
The Dow Jones FXCM US Dollar Index may correct lower after rising as expected after showing a Bullish Engulfing candlestick pattern. The appearance of negative RSI divergence below resistance at 10560, the 50% Fibonacci retracement, hints at ebbing upside momentum. A break below the 38.2% level at 10513 on a daily closing basis exposes a rising trend line established from the July 1 low, now at 10484. Alternatively, a move above 10560 clears the way for a challenge of the 61.8% Fib at 10606.
We remain broadly bullish on the US Dollar against its leading counterparts in line with our long-term fundamental outlook. As such, we remain long.