The stock market sold off after disappointing earnings from Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS), the Empire State manufacturing survey showing growth stalled in January, and as surging yields had investors abandoning rate-sensitive sectors such as technology.
The emergence of skyrocketing expenses for Wall Street banks had many investors worried that wage inflation may have been broadly underpriced across the entire US economy.
US data
The Empire manufacturing data delivered a massive miss as Omicron crippled supply chains and persistent labor shortages weighed on business activity. The Empire headline plunged to -0.7 in January, a miss of the expected gain of 25.0 and prior reading of 31.9.
The Empire manufacturing index delivered its first negative reading since June 2020 as firms remained generally optimistic about the six-month outlook. The pace of prices paid and received decreased but were still substantial. The Empire survey suggested the Omicron impact may have been greater-than-expected and this meant the rest of the regional surveys may have significant downside surprises.
The NAHB Housing Market Index edged lower to 83, snapping a streak of four consecutive increases. Consumer demand was still strong, but the housing market was softening over inflation concerns that came along with surging borrowing costs, constant labor shortages, and higher material costs.
Goldman
Goldman Sach’s shares got punished after a big miss with equities and compensation and expenses surged. Goldman saw both revenue and compensation increased by 33%, with a headcount increase of 8% in 2021. Equities trading revenue in the fourth quarter came in at $2.12 billion, much lower than $2.47 billion seen by analysts. The key takeaway from the big banks was that expenses were soaring and you can’t just assume they will do just fine as Treasury yields rise.