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Unease Ahead Of U.S. Inflation

Published 07/12/2022, 10:51 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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Another day of significant unease in financial markets as investors nervously await U.S. inflation data and the start of earnings season.

The economic calendar goes up a couple of gears tomorrow, with the Reserve Bank of New Zealand and Bank of Canada rate decisions bookending the U.S. inflation data. Fifty-basis-point rate hikes are now the norm, and the debate has shifted to how super-sized they’ll be, with a stronger U.S. CPI number tomorrow potentially cementing another 75 from the Fed in a couple of weeks.

In anticipation of that, investors have retreated to the safety of the U.S. dollar once more, steering clear of risky assets in favour of havens. The greenback has performed very well over the last week across the board, but that’s been particularly evident against the euro as the pair this morning hit parity for the first time in 20 years.

A combination of factors have driven the move from aggressive Fed moves, increasing recession risks in Europe as the bloc faces a potential energy crisis this winter and higher ECB rates that could exacerbate the economic woes. Needless to say, we are looking at a EUR/USD rate that starts with 0. for some time to come.

More Pain Ahead For Bitcoin?

Even the most ardent of Bitcoin HODLers must be questioning themselves at this point as Bitcoin flirts with a move below $20,000 once more. I don’t think $20,000 is as critical a level as it was before given a couple of brief stints below but it’s certainly noteworthy that it repeatedly looks to dip below. A move below $17,500-$18,500 support could accelerate the sell-off, while a break of $19,500 may also signal further pain to come.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

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