📈 Will you get serious about investing in 2025? Take the first step with 50% off InvestingProClaim Offer

UK Referendum: Turnout Will Be Key

Published 06/23/2016, 12:02 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

We showed that younger age cohorts in the UK are more inclined to vote to stay in the EU than their elders. However, some suggested that this consideration is blunted by the fact that the younger people are less likely to vote.

LikeliHood To Vote 10-10 By Age

That may have been the case, but as this Great Graphic of intention by the pollster ORB (h/t @joshTANoble) shows, the situation is more dynamic. Since the start of the month, there appears to have been a dramatic increase in the number of the two youngest cohorts who intend to vote. The percentage of the youngest cohort (18-24) has more than doubled, though is still the lowest expected participation rate. The next youngest cohort (25-34) has also more than doubled and now stands above the cohort just ahead of them (35-44) and the oldest cohort (65+).

Of note, there results detect a decline in the percentage of older (65+) and a middle age (45-54) cohort. In the UK, there are roughly 17 mln people in the UK aged 19-40. There are almost 13 mln people in the UK aged 60-90. There are of course other ways to define fissures among UK voters, though the demographic divide seems particularly useful. The turnout is important.

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2024 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.