According to the U.S. Census Bureau, not only U.S. retail sales declined 0.2% in May, but they did so from a lower level than previously thought, since March and April levels have been revised down 0.3% and 0.7% respectively. April’s monthly change turned from edging up 0.1% to dropping 0.2%, meaning two declines in the last two months, a first since June 2010. But today’s Hot Chart shows that this development is not as bad as it seems at first glance.
Indeed, while gasoline prices were falling, consumers spent $1 billion less on that item in May, leaving more money to spend on discretionary items (retail sales excluding gasoline, groceries and health/personal care). As a matter of fact, purchases of such items increased 0.1% or $417 million. In our opinion, this is a sign that consumers are not pulling back as much as the headline may suggest. Moreover, falling gas prices also means that households were given room to boost their savings rate from a worrying low level in April.