These ETFs Could Benefit From The Indian Blackout

Published 08/01/2012, 07:31 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM
SI
-
BIG
-
FTNMX651010
-
IFNC
-

India, the world's second-largest country by population, is in the midst of a power outage that has left as many 600 million citizens without electricity. Some Indians are now into a second day without power and the event underscores a critical point about India's growing, but fragile economy: Unlike BRICS rival China, India has failed to properly invest in infrastructure.

Its citizens are bearing the brunt of the government's infrastructure missteps. By some estimates, one in three Indians have no electricity in their homes and that was before the blackout. Amid rising deficits, slowing GDP growth (Indian GDP growth was just 5.3 percent in 2011, the worst increase in nine years) and concerns that the Indian government is turning a blind eye to the country's economic issues, the blackout is just one more event to give international investors pause about the India's failures on the infrastructure front.

Given the aforementioned factors and others, it is not surprising that India ETFs have struggled in recent months. The silver lining is that there is a chance the blackout will finally stimulate appropriate infrastructure spending within Asia's third-largest economy. These ETFs could benefit if that happens.

EGShares India Infrastructure ETF (NYSE: INXX) A side-by-side comparison of the EGShares India Infrastructure and the EGShares China Infrastructure ETF (NYSE: CHXX) illustrates just how far ahead China is when it comes to basic domestic projects. While neither has set the world on fire over the past two years, CHXX is down 18.5 percent compared to a 37 percent plunge for INXX.

At the sector level, nearly two-thirds of INXX's weight is allocated to industrials and utilities stocks. These companies may have to spend big going forward to advance Indian infrastructure, but these firms should also be first in line to reap return on investment. If India announces major infrastructure spending plans, an ETF that has "India" and "infrastructure" in its name is likely to benefit.

WisdomTree India Earnings Fund (NYSE: EPI) The WisdomTree India Earnings Fund is one of the largest India-specific ETFs on the market with over $840 million in assets under management. That bellwether status is enough to make the fund a beneficiary of any plans to bolster India's power grid, roads and water delivery systems.

EPI's combined weight to materials, industrials and utilities and is just over 28 percent, but here is the infrastructure angle pertaining to EPI. A 27 percent allocation to financials. Infrastructure projects are expensive and are rarely paid for in their entirety up front. Assuming the best and that is increased infrastructure spending, Indian banks will be financing some of these projects.

EPI is down 9.3 percent in the past month, but the ETF has shown some signs of life over the past few days. Downside is to the $15.25 area, but if EPI can breakthrough $17, it could have upside to the $19-$20 area.

India Small-Cap Index ETF (NYSE: SCIF) The EGShares India Small Cap ETF (NYSE: SCIN) could also go in this spot. Both SCIF and SCIN have decent weights to materials and industrials equities. These ETFs were shining stars in the first quarter that could now use any catalyst to run higher. A new devotion to infrastructure in India would be just the tonic to lift SCIF, which has slid almost 18 percent in the past 90 days.

BY The ETF Professor

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.