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The Nikkei Keeps Falling, But The Yen's What Matters

Published 06/03/2013, 09:48 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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This morning, the S&P 500 Index e-mini futures (ES-M3) are trading higher by 4.50 points to 1633.50 per contract. While there is a lot happening today it seems that the major stock index futures are tracking the action in the Japanese Yen very closely. Traders can look at an intra-day chart of the USD/JPY (U.S. Dollar against the Japan Yen) and see that this chart is exactly the same as the S&P 500 Index e-mini futures (ES-M3). Last night, the Nikkei 225 Index declined lower by 3.72 percent. Normally, many investors would be fearful that this decline in the Japanese stock market would affect stocks here, but it is the Japanese Yen that seems to move the market in the United States. A weak Japanese Yen seems to be beneficial for U.S. stocks at this time.

All of the leading European stock indexes are holding steady today. Often, the major European stock indexes will wait to see how the U.S. markets do before making any sharp moves. Should the U.S. markets decline today many of the leading European markets will likely come under pressure. Traders should expect some early volatility in equities such as iShares MSCI Germany Index (EWG), iShares MSCI Italy Capped Index (EWI), iShares MSCI Spain Capped Index (EWP) and the iShares MSCI France Index (EWQ).

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