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Technicals Point To Nasty Stock Selloff

Published 08/21/2017, 01:04 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM

Act II

Cycles warn that the sell-off in equities during the last two weeks should find a bottom this week – temporarily. The Bradley model does not hold much hope for those who hope to trade the bounce as it points to an upwards-to-sideways move until mid September when it drops precipitously into mid October.

The Decennial pattern warns of a nasty sell-off in equities during years ending in the number 7 (i.e. 2017). Since 1907, each year ending in 7 (with the exception of 1947, which suffered a mere 6.2% drop) has seen a double-digit decline beginning somewhere between June and October.

One non-cyclical indicator warning of a low is the NYSE's new 52-week lows (chart). They have reached a high enough level to indicate that market participants have thrown in the towel (the selling is over for now).


S&P 500 (top), NYSE 52-Week Lows

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