STTG Market Recap: Market Continues To Be A Playground For Bulls

Published 11/22/2013, 01:49 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
NDX
-
FTNMX301010
-
IXIC
-
IFNC
-

The market continues to be a playground for the bulls. After a 3 day detour downward, we saw the S&P 500 end at highs for the year Friday. This is the seventh consecutive week of gains, which is quite a rare feat (longest run in 3 years); since the politicians kicked the can down the road on the budget / debt, we've essentially been on a 1 way ride. The S&P 500 added 0.50% and the NASDAQ 0.57%.

We have now completely negated the second bearish outside reversal day in as many weeks. So it appears in a QE market this marker is not something to trust.

SPX S&P 500 Chart

Nasdaq Composite Chart

Today's move pushed the NYSE McClellan Oscillator back to positive; at the close Wednesday this was very near the oversold band we have in pink.

McClellan Oscillator Chart

Let us see what sectors also hit new highs; we have healthcare...

Health Care Select Chart

Energy

Energy Select Sector Chart

Regional Banks
SPDR Regional Bank Chart

Biotech
Biotech iShares Chart

Financials

Financials Select Sector

Biotechs were led by large cap company Biotech (BIIB) which jumped 13% after the company won 10 years of exclusivity protection for its multiple sclerosis drug, Tecfidera, from regulators in Europe. This sector has been the leader of 2013.


Biogen Idec Inc. Chart

Next week is Thanksgiving and is traditionally is a very bullish week for the market, as volume is very light. Especially the two days that bracket Thanksgiving itself (Wed/Fri), and even more so in years when the market is up 10% year to date. It also marks the beginning of a very bullish period for the market aka "the Santa Claus rally" through the end of the year. Bespoke Investment Premium has details on this.

As shown towards the left side of the table below, the S&P 500 has historically performed well during Thanksgiving week. Since 1945, it has averaged a gain of 0.65% with positive returns 62% of the time. In years where the S&P 500 was already up 10%+ heading into the week, the index has done even better, averaging a gain of 0.77% with positive returns 65.5% of the time. One area where there has been consistency is in the returns from the end of Thanksgiving week through year end. Since 1945, the S&P 500 has averaged a gain of 1.76% with positive returns 71% of the time. In years where the S&P 500 was already up 10%, the average return is a similarly impressive 1.89%.
S&P 500 Performance Chart
Have a good weekend, and we'll see you back here next week.

Original post

Latest comments

Loading next article…
Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.