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Stocks Are Falling Ahead Of Massive Economic Data And Earnings

Published 07/30/2020, 07:27 AM
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Stocks are pointing lower today, with the S&P 500 futures lower by more than 1%. Meanwhile, Germany is falling by about 2%, along with weakness across most of Asia, which gave back earlier gains.

There will be a lot of important economic data this morning with the big second-quarter GDP print, and initial claims. Estimates for GDP are a decline of 35% annualized, while initial claims are forecast at 1.388 million. Germany saw its second-quarter GDP decline by 10.1% versus last quarter, which was worse than estimates for a 9% drop. Additionally, the unemployment rate came in better at 6.4% versus forecasts for 6.5%.

S&P 500

The significant critical level to watch in the S&P 500 is around 3,200, which gives the index plenty of room, currently trading at 3,220.

S&P 500 Futures Chart

NASDAQ

The NASDAQ futures are in a tighter spot, with very little room to spare. Should the futures fall below 10,400, the Nasdaq would have successfully broken the uptrend, and that is likely to trigger much more selling.

Nasdaq 100 Emini Futures Chart

10-Year

The 10-Year yield is falling to 55 basis points, and that is a technical level as it has served as support multiple times. I fear breaking this level sends yields sharply lower.

US Govt Bonds 10 Yr Yield Chart

Copper

Copper prices are essential too, and as long as we stay above $2.87, we should be ok, but a break of $2.87, opens the selling flood gates, and that is bad for the risk-on sentiment.

Copper Futures Chart

Micron

Micron (NASDAQ:MU) is sitting on support today around $49.80 with a break of that trigger the stock can decline to $45.50.

Micron Technology Chart

Disney

Disney is very close to falling below support at $114.60, which would trigger a decline to around $109.

Walt Disney Chart

Boeing

Boeing (NYSE:BA) is again testing support around $165, with a break of that support level resulting in a decline to $154.

Boeing Chart

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