Market movers today
In the UK, focus remains on Brexit and any news regarding Theresa May's uncertain future as PM and party leader (see also Macro Strategy Views Podcast: A deal is still likely despite the UK's house of cards, 19 November 2018). May is expected to travel to Brussels today to discuss trade. Apart from politics, markets will also keep an eye on any changes in the BoE's rhetoric, when Carney, Haldane, Cunliffe and Saunders testify before the UK Parliament's Treasury Committee today.
In the US, housing starts and building permit data for October is due. Recently, the housing market has looked a bit shaky, but numbers for September were probably influenced by the hurricane season. Hence, we will keep an eye on whether we see a recovery in October and the coming months.
Selected market news
Risk sentiment was sour yesterday with equities down across the globe. Despite the very weak risk sentiment, US treasuries were only able to stage a very modest yield decline last night. The market continued to pare back on the Fed pricing and the curve 2s10s steepened further to 27bp. ECB pricing also declined marginally yesterday, with 5bp now priced in for September 2019 and 12bp for December 2019. The front of the EUR curve continues to be driven by the long end of the curve. In the overnight session, Asian equities declined more than 1.5%.
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