Restoration Hardware Holdings Inc (NYSE:RH)
RH is set to report its 2016 first-quarter financial results after the close today Wednesday June 8, 2016. The consensus is for earnings of $.05 a share on revenues of $452.86M. Restoration Hardware was a relatively expensive retail stock just a year ago trading near $100 that can be had on the cheap as of today. Will Q1 earnings bring restoration to the share price?
Analyst Expectations
Analysts at R.W. Baird had the following comments into tonight’s first quarter report.
Thoughts into 1Q. With guidance provided two months into 1Q (and recognizing a portion of 4Q’s written orders related to Modern product should have converted into revenues during 1Q), we expect relatively in-line sales/EPS. That said, challenging conditions in select energy/FX-exposed markets and uncertainties related to the impact of RH’s marketing strategy change clouds the outlook beyond 1Q. While sentiment is decidedly negative and the Waterworks acquisition should be accretive to FY16E EPS, visibility into RH’s core fundamentals remains low. Maintain Neutral rating.
1Q results out this Wednesday (June 8) post-close. Our $0.05E EPS is in line with consensus and guidance of $0.04-$0.06. Recall guidance assumes a $0.12-$0.15 hit from initiatives to elevate the customer experience. Essentially, RH has been providing customer accommodations (i.e., discounts) due to Modern production delays. As such, GM pressure was expected to result in significant EBIT margin compression (modeling -255bps).
Top-line considerations. Our model assumes sales of $452M (+7%, including comp brand revenue +5%), consistent with the low end of $452M-$456M plan. While a portion of 4Q’s written orders related to Modern product should have converted into revenues during 1Q (as in-stocks/fulfillment improved), challenging conditions in select markets exposed to energy/oil/FX (top-line drag from Texas/Miami/Canada widened to ~600bps in March vs. 2H15’s ~400bps) and uncertainty around the impact of RH’s marketing strategy adjustment clouds visibility (particularly beyond 1Q).
About Restoration Hardware Holdings, Inc.
Restoration Hardware Holdings, Inc. (RH), incorporated on August 18, 2011, is a luxury retailer in the home furnishings marketplace. The Company offers merchandise assortments across a range of categories, including furniture, lighting, textiles, bathware, decor, outdoor and garden, tableware, and child and teen furnishings. RH classifies its sales into furniture and non-furniture product lines. The Furniture category includes both indoor and outdoor furniture. The Non-furniture category includes lighting, textiles, accessories and home decor.
The Company produces a series of catalogs (Source Books), to showcase its merchandise assortment. The Company’s business is integrated across its channels of distribution, consisting of its stores, catalogs, including its Source Books, and Websites. The Company operates a total of approximately 69 retail galleries, including 53 legacy Galleries, six larger format Design Galleries, four next generation Design Galleries, one RH Modern Gallery and five RH Baby & Child Galleries, as well as 17 outlet stores, across the United States and Canada.
By Mike H