Regional Network Report In Norway And DGB/SGB Auctions

Published 03/06/2017, 05:48 AM
Updated 05/14/2017, 06:45 AM

In the week ahead, there is no data for Sweden being released.

Note though that the Swedish National Debt Office (SNDO) is set to tap the markets. It will sell bonds in the May-25 and Nov-26 bonds. Note that the amount is just SEK2.5bn after the newly revised supply outlook from the SNDO.

In Norway , the week's main event is undoubtedly Norges Bank's regional network survey, which is the central bank's preferred economic indicator and is particularly important because it is forward looking.

Over the past year, the aggregated output index has signalled an upturn in growth, which to some extent has been backed up by GDP data. We estimate the index climbed to around 1.0 in February, equivalent to roughly 2.0% annualised growth in the Norwegian economy.

In Denmark , Friday brings inflation data for February. We predict inflation of 0.8% m/m and 1.0% y/y.

Otherwise, figures for bankruptcies and repossessions in February are out on Monday, while Tuesday brings industrial production data for January. Industrial production trended up last year, but there were substantial fluctuations from month to month.

The Danish Debt Management Office will tap in the DGB Nov 2027 and the DGB Nov-2021 on Wednesday. The Danish Fixed income market has performed well over the past couple of weeks relative to especially core more markets in the eurozone. Many investors see Denmark as a 'safe-haven' in case the political situation especially in France should become more uncertain ahead of and after the French presidential election in Q2. We therefore look for healthy demand at the auction. We will publish an in-depth auction preview ahead of the auction on Wednesday.

See our new Strategic overview for the Scandi FI and FX markets on page 2 .

To read the entire report Please click on the pdf File Below

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