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RBA Remains Hawkish After Rate Cut (And Who Renamed The Central Bank?)

Published 12/05/2012, 03:58 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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The Reserve Bank of Australia continues to surprise with their hawkish stance. In spite of lowering the benchmark rate to 3%, the RBA made comments suggesting that they are going into a holding pattern for a while. Since the RBA has never gone below 3%, it seems to represent something of a "support level."
RBA rate
The Australian: "People are speculating we are nearing the end of the easing cycle," said Matthew Johnson, a UBS interest rate strategist.

"The Reserve Bank is uncomfortable about further cuts and will only make them if they absolutely have to."

UBS chief economist Scott Haslem said: "If the non-mining sector continues to improve, as we expect, this should allow the RBA to stay on hold from here, and possibly for an extended period."

It's a brave thing to do for a central bank that is facing "currency wars," particularly by its competitors (see discussion). The Australian dollar has experienced a massive appreciation relative to the Brazilian real for example, making it difficult for Australia's exporters to compete. This is especially tough when global demand for natural resources remains weak.
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Businesses are calling for the central bank to weaken the currency and will not be happy with the RBA in a holding pattern.

To cheer up our friends down under, here is an article about the RBA's rate policy published on NASDAQ's website about a month ago. When was the central bank renamed?
Royal Bank of Australia

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