Pepper Settles Higher on Weak Arrivals

Black Pepper futures and Spot prices bounced back from the support levels and settled % high on Wednesday. Lower arrivals in the domestic are likely to provide support to the prices.

Also, Pepper lying with stockiests in other major producing nations particularly Vietnam and Indonesia are limited. This may control prices from falling sharply.

Vietnam has reportedly sold 1.08 lakh tonnes of pepper till September 30th 2011. Buyers from Vietnam are therefore placing fresh orders in India. Carryover stocks of pepper till commencement of fresh arrivals in March with Vietnam are projected to be around 15,000 tonnes. Also, Indonesia’s output is estimated lower. (Source: Pepper Trade Board) Indian parity in the international market was at $8,000-8,100 a tonne and remained competitive and was attracting overseas orders while Vietnam 550 Gl is being offered at $8,050 per tonne. Indonesian Asta grade is being quoted at 8550 per tonne for October and November shipment.

Exports from the major countries

According to Spices Board of India, exports of pepper during April 2011- August 2011 stood at 8,750 tonnes as compared to 7,800 tonnes in 2010- 11, rise of 12%.

According to International Pepper Community (IPC) exports of black pepper from Indonesia during January to September 2011 witnessed a fall of 38% and stood at 26,300 tonnes as compared to 42,082 tonnes in the last year. Vietnam and India witnessed a rise in export during the above mentioned period at around 14% and 10% respectively. Brazil also witnessed a fall of 6%,

Production and Arrivals

Arrivals of pepper in the domestic mandi on Monday stood at 15 tonnes against offtakes of 85 tonnes while arrivals on Saturday stood at 12 tonnes against offtakes of 23 tonnes.

Production of pepper in India in 2010-11 is projected to be 48 thousand tonnes (according to the Spices Board) as compared to 50 thousand tonnes last year. However, there are expectations that this estimate would be lowered further on account of the disease attacks and erratic rainfall in the major growing areas particularly Kerala and Karnataka.

According to IPC global output of Pepper for 2011 is expected to decline by 6,500 tonnes to 3.10 lakh tonnes. Vietnam production of the spice is expected to be same as that of previous year to 1.10 lakh tonnes. Pepper production in Brazil stood around 27,000 tonnes in 2010-11 as compared to 35,000 tonnes the previous year.