Pattern: Head and Shoulder At Trigger Point On Dollar

Published 02/01/2013, 01:29 PM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
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The Dollar continues to fall, day after day. There is a head and shoulder pattern on the daily chart that is on the verge of triggering. A head and shoulder pattern is a bearish pattern that usually leads to further downside. The trigger (when the pattern is in play) occurs when the neck-line breaks. Please note the chart below. The tracking ETF used to view this is the PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP). It is trading at $21.61, -0.03 (-0.14%).

While this pattern has been recognized by countless market technicians, once it triggers it may fail. According to the proprietary PPT Strategies, there is a 60% chance of pattern failure in the near term. Should the pattern fail, a sharp spike up would be expected on the Dollar which would result in a down move in the markets.

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Related: CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY) and CurrencyShares Euro Trust (FXE).

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