Oil Rebounds, Gold Holds Above 1800

Published 01/11/2022, 01:41 PM

Oil Eyes Autumn Highs

Oil prices are rebounding higher again on Tuesday, up more than 1%, with sights seemingly set on the late autumn highs. We saw some heat come out of the market over the last couple of days, but pullbacks were always likely to be limited given the broader dynamics.

Prices could remain elevated for some time yet. Of course, Omicron offers some demand uncertainty over the coming months, but the market is tight as OPEC+ slowly turns the taps back on. And OPEC struggling to deliver on targets doesn’t help alleviate any of that tightness in the market.

Can Gold Mount A Rally As Yields Rise?

Gold has shown remarkable resilience in the current environment of rising rate expectations and higher yields, to such an extent that it makes me really question whether it can, in fact, rally in the short-term. There doesn’t appear much rationale behind the move unless we see weakness in the dollar, but it’s impossible to ignore price action.

And the yellow metal is continuing to force the move higher, pushing strongly against the $1,800 barrier to the upside with some short-term success before being pushed back. Today, it’s rallied as high as $1,810 and has been driven back again, but it’s holding above $1,800. A close above here could be a bullish signal, albeit confusing.

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