Oil shakes off sentiment hit
Oil is continuing to push higher as traders price in a modest economic impact from omicron. The OPEC+ meeting this week supported the view and the price of oil is now not far from its October peak, with WTI closing in on $80 for the first time in almost two months.
The knock to broader market sentiment from the Fed minutes is not reverberating around the crude market, with prices up more than 2% on the day and backed by momentum.
Gold hit hard by Fed minutes
Gold’s recovery in late December appeared to be built on rocky foundations and the Fed minutes delivered a hammer blow to hopes of sustaining a move above $1,800 in the near term.
Aside from the references to balance sheet reduction, which at this point are merely an option up for discussion, there was nothing in the minutes that wasn’t clear after the meeting. Slightly higher yields are a normal response to the balance sheet discussion but the level of risk aversion seen across the markets is not.
The yellow metal has slipped further, off more than 1%, and we could see the pullback gather momentum.
Once again, resistance around $1,833 has got the better of gold. It appeared to have finally broken the barrier in November but it wasn’t long before it came crashing down once more and the last week has shown it remains as much a barrier now as it did before.