Oil prices are a little higher today, slightly paring heavy losses on Monday sustained on the back of intensifying lockdowns in China as the government enacts harsh measures to contain the COVID outbreak. The country remains committed to its zero-COVID policy which will ultimately weigh on crude demand in the near term. No doubt it comes at a good time given current supply/demand dynamics but we’re only talking short-term relief.
Longer-term pressures remain and OPEC+ looks unlikely to do anything to alleviate those this week. The group has repeatedly stated its desire to remain apolitical and base its decisions purely on achieving a balanced market. Given how unbalanced the market is and the fact that at the center of the alliance is the country to blame for the most recent surge in oil prices, it’s hard to view a decision to not increase output targets as anything but political.
Gold Eases Further As Risk Appetite Improves
Gold prices are easing again as risk appetite improves on reported progress in talks between Ukraine and Russia. The yellow metal was in strong demand as Russian troops crossed the border and hope of a ceasefire is seeing that unwind. There will remain a certain amount of support for gold still given the inflationary, geopolitical, and risk environment but we could see it ease a little further in the near term. The next key level for gold will be $1,900 where it saw strong support earlier this month.