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Gold Up On Weak U.S. Dollar; Market Cycles Suggest Further Rise Possible

Published 06/21/2019, 04:51 AM
Updated 07/09/2023, 06:31 AM
XAU/USD
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GC
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Summary:

  • Gold futures (/GC) rose by 3.5% on Thursday after the market digested the Fed’s signal that interest rates may drop in the future.
  • Based on its market cycles, gold has had a nice run but higher prices are still possible.


Gold Futures (/GC) Weekly Chart

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday decided to leave rates unchanged but signalled it was open to lowering rates in the future. According to Chair Jerome Powell, “Many participants now see the case for somewhat more accommodative policy has strengthened.”

Lower interest rates make the dollar less attractive told hold, which pushes the price of gold higher in relative terms. As such gold futures rose by $47.70 or 3.5% on Thursday. This equated to the highest gold prices in over five years.

Our analysis for gold futures focuses on their market cycles. We believe gold is still in the rising phase of its current cycle. While it nearly touched the bottom end of our target/resistance zone based on Fibonacci extensions, we certainly see higher prices as within the realm of possibility.

For more from Slim, or to learn about cycle analysis, check out the askSlim Market Week show every Friday on our YouTube channel.

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